The Philadelphia Flyers (0-5-3) and Detroit Red Wings (1-3-2) tussle in a Thursday contest in Detroit, Michigan. The opening faceoff at Little Caesars Arena will be at 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+, Hulu). Let's analyze NHL odds around the Flyers vs. Red Wings odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
2025-26 season series: Detroit won 2-1
Philadelphia last played Tuesday, falling 3-2 (Under 6) in a shootout to the Seattle Kraken as a -109 home proposition. C Christian Dvorak and C Trevor Zegras scored 73 seconds apart in the third period to erase a 2-0 deficit, but the Flyers were undone in the eventual shootout. The Flyers remain winless through 8 games, the longest such start in franchise history.
The Red Wings also played their most recent
game Tuesday, losing 5-4 (Over 6) in overtime to the -105 New Jersey Devils. RW Alex DeBrincat registered 2 goals and an assist, including a third-period equalizer. Detroit has dropped 3 straight games (0-1-2), with the last 2 decided beyond regulation.
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Flyers at Red Wings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:12 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Flyers +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Red Wings -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Flyers +1.5 (-220) | Red Wings -1.5 (+180)
- Over/Under (O/U): 5.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Flyers at Red Wings projected goalies
Dan Vladar (0-3-1, 4.21 GAA, .875 SV%) vs. Daniil Tarasov (0-0-1, 0.76 GAA, .974 SV%)
Vladar was between the pipes Tuesday and yielded 2 goals on 31 shots. He has a shaky history against Detroit -- across 7 games vs. the Wings, he owns an .847 SV%.
Tarasov stopped 38 of 39 shots across 91 minutes in 2 games last week (Friday-Saturday). The 27-year-old Russian has appeared in 100 career games, posting a 3.26 GAA on an .898 SV%.
Flyers at Red Wings picks and predictions
Prediction
Flyers 4, Red Wings 3
Moneyline
Philadelphia has been abysmal in most of its games so far, but from an analytics standpoint the Flyers have logged 2 decent efforts over their last 4 games. Those contests were a 2-1 loss at Ottawa Oct. 8 and Philly's Tuesday contest vs. Seattle. Both of those clubs are 5-2-0 so far.
In terms of expected 5-on-5 goals, the Flyers are at the bottom of the league. But they have registered slightly improved figures in recent games, and that recent slate has been a high-caliber one.
And Detroit is not exactly an advanced-stats darling on offense. The Wings are just 1-3-1 at home. That's 1 win in 4 games at the venue that saw them go 3-8-3 after Jan. 27 last season.
Philly was a solid 23-14-4 on the road last season and likely has a goalie advantage in this one. Peg the FLYERS (+115) as the value end here.
Puck line/Against the spread
No interest: PASS.
Over/Under
The Over has cashed in 3 straight series meetings and in 3 straight Philly-Detroit games played at Little Caesars Arena. In those last three games played in Detroit, the clubs have combined for an average total of 9.0 goals.
From an expected-goals standpoint, the Flyers have been porous on defense. The possession and shot-quality analytics would be bullish on both Philly and Detroit finding the back of the net more often in even-strength play. Low shooting percentages have keyed iffy numbers so far.
Mix in a Red Wings penalty kill operating at a subpar 66.7% efficiency rate, and the OVER 5.5 (-120) is a slight lean.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings odds, picks and predictions
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