The New York Mets (71-85) and Texas Rangers (78-78) meet Tuesday to commence a 3-game series. First pitch from Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas, is set for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let's analyze MLB odds around the Mets vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025 season series: Rangers won 2-1
The Mets lost to the Philadelphia Phillies 7-2 Sunday, closing as a +132 moneyline underdog with the Over (7.5) hitting. New York split that 4-game series after being swept by the Baltimore Orioles in its prior series. The Mets have long been eliminated from postseason play.
The Rangers lost to the Toronto Blue Jays 7-2 Sunday despite being a -176 moneyline favorite as the Over (7.5) cashed. Texas has won 6 of its last
8 games and is in a heated race for the AL West, 1 game ahead of the Houston Astros, who are 3 games behind the Chicago White Sox for the final Wild Card spot. It's likely only the division winner gets into the playoffs, putting more importance on Tuesday's game.
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Mets at Rangers projected starters
LHP Sean Manaea vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore
Manaea (5-7, 4.74 ERA) makes his 18th start (32nd appearance). He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 138 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 7-5 home loss vs. Baltimore Orioles Tuesday
- Career vs. Rangers: 7-4, 4.22 ERA (89 2/3 IP, 42 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 16 starts
- 2026 road splits: 4-5, 4.75 ERA (72 IP, 38 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 13 HR, 20 BB, 65 K in 16 appearances (9 starts)
Gore (8-11, 4.67 ERA) makes his 33rd start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 in 165 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 IP, 3 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 0 K in a 7-3 home victory vs. Boston Red Sox Wednesday
- Career vs. Mets: 1-3, 4.50 ERA (40 IP, 20 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 8 starts
- 2026 home splits: 4-2, 3.53 ERA (81 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.18 WHIP, 9 HR, 29 BB, 81 K in 15 starts
Mets at Rangers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Mets +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Rangers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-185) | Rangers -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Mets at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 6, Mets 3
Moneyline
PASS.
While the Rangers (-155) is playable here, the value just isn't one that's suggested. Look towards the spread for the better wager.
Run line/Against the spread
BET RANGERS -1.5 (+150).
The Rangers have found some rhythm offensively over the last few weeks, scoring at least 6 runs in 5 of their previous 8 games. They've also covered the spread in 3 of Gore's last 4 starts, and he's pitched much better at home this season.
The Mets have been sporadic, which makes the spread the best route available. New York has tallied 5 or more runs in 3 of its previous 8 games, and in those 5 games in which it failed to hit that mark, it combined for 4 runs. New York is just 2-4 ATS in its last 6 outings.
Over/Under
BET OVER 8 (-105).
Both teams are trending toward the Over here.
The Rangers have gone north of the total in 3 straight games, and they are 81-67-8 O/U. Texas has gone Over in Gore's last 5 starts. New York has also gone Over in 3 straight games, and it has allowed at least 7 runs in 3 of its last 6 contests.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New York Mets at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions
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