The No. 1 Florida Gators (2-0) and Florida State Seminoles (2-0) meet Tuesday at Tucker Center in Tallahassee, Florida. Tip is set for 6 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let's analyze NCAA basketball odds around the Florida vs. Florida State odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Gators throttled the Jacksonville Dolphins 88-57 Thursday, but failed to cover as a 37.5-point home favorite with the Under (155.5) cashing. Florida beat the No. 18 Miami Hurricanes 77-67 to open the season Nov. 2 and covered in that game as a 6.5-point neutral-court favorite. It is 1-1 against the spread (ATS) and 0-2 O/U. F Thomas Haugh had led the way with 16.5 points per game.
The Seminoles dominated the Troy Trojans 91-68 Friday.
They barely covered as a 22.5-point home favorite with the Over (158.5) hitting. F Shon Abaev dropped a game-high 20 points. Florida State opened the season by annihilating the Florida A&M Rattlers 113-69. The Seminoles are 2-0 straight up, ATS and O/U.
Florida won the Sunshine Showdown 78-76 last season in Gainesville and leads the all-time series 48–28 (with 1 vacated game).
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
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Florida at Florida State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:01 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Florida -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Florida State +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida -9.5 (-118) | Florida State +9.5 (-102)
- Over/Under (O/U): 164.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Florida at Florida State picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida 88, Florida State 81
Moneyline
PASS.
Avoid this play. Florida (-500) is obviously one of the most talented teams in the country and should come out on top in this one, but it is far too expensive to consider on the moneyline.
Against the spread
BET FLORIDA STATE +9.5 (-102).
The Seminoles rank No. 9 in the country in offensive efficiency, and while they haven't played the most challenging opponents, they've impressed nonetheless. Averaging 36.5 free throws per game, they attack the glass and could force Florida into foul trouble. Florida State's defense has held steady, having yet to allow 70 points per game.
The Gators, who are 0-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite, shot just 43% from the field against Miami and were just 20 of 35 from the free-throw line. That inefficiency is a cause for concern, and against a Florida State side that starts 4 players at least 6-foot-7, C Rueben Chinyelu may not have the same advantage on the glass that he typically does.
Expect this in-state rivalry game to be a close one and back FLORIDA STATE +9.5 (-102).
Over/Under
BET OVER 164.5 (-115).
Of the 365 Division I sides, Florida ranks 119th (115.8%), and Florida State sits 43rd (124.6%) in true shooting percentage. Both teams have shown early-season success offensively that should continue into Tuesday's contest.
The Seminoles have scored at least 91 points in both games, while Florida has notched at least 77 points in each contest. Considering those trends and the style for each side, take OVER 164.5 (-115).
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles odds, picks and predictions
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