The Milwaukee Brewers (98-58) and Philadelphia Phillies (86-70) meet in the Tuesday opener of a 3-game series in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The first pitch from Citizens Bank Park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze MLB odds around the Brewers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 2-1
Milwaukee last played Sunday, defeating the Baltimore Orioles as a -221 favorite in a 3-0 (Under 7.5) triumph which marked the club's third in a row and fifth in its last 6 games.
Like the Brewers, the Phillies were also idle Monday. In their last game, the -160 Phils defeated the New York Mets 7-2 (Over 7.5). That game at Citi Field closed out a 9-game road swing for Philadelphia.
In the
postseason picture, Milwaukee has clinched the NL Central title and leads the Los Angeles Dodgers by 2 games for the No. 1 seed in the NL brackets. Philadelphia is tussling for Wild Card seeding (currently in the No. 3 spot).
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Brewers at Phillies projected starters
RHP Dustin May vs. RHP Zack WheelerMay (7-9, 4.61 ERA) is making his 30th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 140 2/3 innings.
- Last outing: No-decision, 2 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-5 win at Baltimore Orioles Friday
- Has never faced the Phillies
Wheeler (13-5, 2.99 ERA) is making his 27th start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 150 1/3 innings.
- Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 3-0 win at Washington Nationals Wednesday
- Career vs. Brewers (regular season): 5-2, 2.41 ERA (71 IP, 19 ER), 61 H, 12 BB, 78 K in 11 starts
Brewers at Phillies odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Phillies -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-192) | Phillies -1.5 (+158)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +106 | U: -130)
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Brewers at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 4, Phillies 3
Moneyline
The Phillies are 1-4 over their last 5 series openers; the Brewers have won 5 consecutive series lid-lifters. Milwaukee is 12-6 over its last 18 road games.
Philadelphia is 57-36 vs. clubs playing under-.500; the Phils are just 29-34 vs. opponents playing .500 or better. Wheeler does give Philadelphia the mound edge, and has excellent numbers against current Milwaukee batters. But the Phils righty figures to be overrated by a 3.30 ERA over his last 5 starts. Support peripherals don't match up.
May has been torched by a high batting average on balls in play over recent efforts. He owns a 4.86 ERA over his last 5 starts but has likely deserved better.
The last 10 series meetings have seen the Brewers win 7. That includes a 3-game Milwaukee sweep the last time these 2 clubs met in Philadelphia. In that series (May 30-June 1, 2025), the Brewers outscored the Phillies 28-11.
MILWAUKEE (+120) is a play with some leverage.
Run line/Against the spread
No interest; PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 3-1 across the last 4 series meetings.
On an evening with a respected starter for the home team, rested bullpens for both sides, and an inward-blowing breeze in the forecast, peg the UNDER 7.5 (-130) with just a slight lean. There are some mixed signals on this O/U play: consider making this a partial-unity play to mitigate risk.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions
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