The Houston Rockets (7-2) hit the road to take on the Phoenix Suns (2-5) Saturday. Tip-off from Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona, is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let's analyze NBA odds around the Rockets vs. Suns odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025-26 season series: Rockets won 4-0
Houston was handed a 117-107 loss by the Minnesota Timberwolves Wednesday, failing to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite while the Over (219.5) hit. C Alperen Sengun finished with 17 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists, and F Kevin Durant led the way in terms of scoring, finishing with 21 points, but the Rockets couldn't overcome their 22 turnovers or 54-40 deficit in paint scoring.
Phoenix picked up a 117-104 win over the Orlando
Magic Thursday while covering as a 1.5-point home favorite as the Under (222.5) cashed. G Devin Booker scored 30 points, and F Dillon Brooks added 24 to lead the Suns and break their 4-game losing skid. Booker has scored 30 or more points 3 times this season, including in each of Phoenix's wins.
Houston won this matchup 4-0 last season while holding the Suns to fewer than 100 points in 3 of the 4 matchups and winning by at least 14 in 3 of the last 4 matchups as well.
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Rockets at Suns odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Rockets -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Suns +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
- Against the spread (ATS): Rockets -6.5 (-115) | Suns +6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Rockets at Suns key injuries
Rockets
- C Steven Adams (calf) out
- C Clint Capela (ankle) out
Suns
- F Rasheer Fleming (ankle) questionable
- F Jordan Goodwin (calf) doubtful
- C Mark Williams (shoulder) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Rockets at Suns picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockets 118, Suns 104
Moneyline
PASS.
The Rockets are the better team, and they will have no problem covering here as -275 favorites, but they are not worth the risk of backing as such heavy favorites, so pass and bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET ROCKETS -6.5 (-115).
The Rockets are tied for the second-best offensive rating (120) in basketball while also being top 10 in defensive rating (109.6). Phoenix, on the other hand, has the second-worst defensive rating (121.4) in the league. The Suns are also the worst rebounding team in the NBA, averaging just 38.6 boards per game, while the Rockets allow the fewest opponent rebounds per game (39.7) of any team.
Houston is 7-2 ATS this season, while the Suns are just 1-6.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 223.5 (-110).
G Amen Thompson is among the best perimeter defenders in the NBA, so he should have a lot of success guarding Booker. If that keeps Booker from being his typical main scorer and initiator for Phoenix, there won't be much done in terms of scoring. On the other side, the Rockets have been an elite offense, but that has more to do with efficiency than it does with flashy scoring numbers, so the Under is still a solid play.
This is a lean because the Over is 5-2 for the Suns and 6-3 for the Rockets this season.
Best prop bet
ROCKETS G AMEN THOMPSON OVER 6.5 REBOUNDS (-135).
Thompson has gotten at least 7 rebounds in 5 of his last 6 matchups against the Suns, and with both of Houston's backup centers still out, there will be plenty of opportunity for Thompson to continue that streak here. The Rockets don't have a guy who dominates on the glass; instead, it's a team effort, as 4 different players average between 6.0 and 9.1 per game, so there isn't a true horse that will snag boards away from Thompson on his team. On the other side, the Suns will offer no resistance on the glass.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns odds, picks and predictions
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