The Toronto Raptors (4-3) and Denver Nuggets (3-3) meet Wednesday at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let's analyze NBA odds around the Raptors vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025-26 season series: Nuggets won 2-0
Toronto beat the LA Clippers 125-118 Monday while covering as a 6.5-point road favorite as the Over (219.5) cashed. G Immanuel Quickley led the Raptors with 27 points, and G RJ Barrett added 26 to mark the third time in 4 games that the Raptors have scored at least 120 points. The Raptors have allowed at least 118 points in all of their last 3 games.
Denver lost 118-110 to the Portland Trail Blazers Monday, failing to cover as a 4.5-point home favorite as the Under
(231.5) hit. G Jamal Murray scored 35 points, marking the third time in 5 games that he has eclipsed the 35-point mark. C Nikola Jokic just missed a triple-double with 26 points, 9 boards, and 8 assists. The Nuggets were dominated 53-37 on the glass and hit just 9 3-pointers to Portland's 15.
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Raptors at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Raptors +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +4.5 (-110) | Nuggets -4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Raptors at Nuggets key injuries
Raptors
- F Kawhi Leonard (knee) out
- C Jakob Poeltl (shoulder) questionable
Nuggets
- G Alpa Diallo (wrist) probable
- F Cameron Johnson (lower body) probable
- F Spencer Jones (hamstring) out
- G Julian Strawther (knee) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Raptors at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Raptors 118, Nuggets 116
Moneyline
LEAN RAPTORS (+155).
The Raptors, in spite of their injuries, have simply been better than the Nuggets to start the season. The Raptors are top-7 in both offensive rating (116.3, sixth) and defensive rating (108.5, seventh), while also averaging more rebounds per game (44.1) than Denver (42.5) and forcing the most turnovers per game of any team in the NBA (20.9).
The lack of size to matchup against Jokic is the only worry for Toronto, but that didn't matter when the Golden State Warriors beat Denver 134-114 in spite of having a much worse defense than this Raptors team has, so I don't expect it to matter here.
Against the spread
PASS.
The Raptors will cover here as +4.5 (-110) underdogs, but there is no reason to back Toronto here when I am picking them to win outright at plus money. Pass here and bet on the spread and/or total instead.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 230.5 (-110).
The Raptors normally have a very good defense, but without Leonard, the defense has been a bit softer, and with all the attention that the Raptors will place on Jokic, other guys like Murray will likely be able to get going here. Denver, on the other hand, is a team that just doesn't play defense at all, so expect that the Raptors have a very solid night offensively.
The Over has hit in all of Toronto's last 4 games overall and is 3-1 in the last 4 matchups between these squads that took place in Ball Arena.
Best prop bet
Nuggets C NIKOLA JOKIC UNDER 24.5 POINTS (-115).
Jokic has not been his normal self to start the season; he has yet to lead the Nuggets in scoring in any game this season and is averaging just 22 points per game, his lowest number since before COVID. In his last matchup against Toronto, he also finished with just 22 points.
Regardless of whether Poeltl plays or not, the Raptors will have very good and very strong defenders to throw at Jokic to keep him from getting to this number.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Toronto Raptors at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions
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