The New York Yankees (89-65) and Arizona Diamondbacks (81-74) wrap up their 3-game series in Phoenix, Arizona, Sunday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze MLB odds around the Yankees vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Yankees have clinched a playoff spot. They are in second place in the AL East, trailing the Tampa Bay Rays by 5 games. They have won 8 of their last 11 games. They won the opener on Friday 9-2 as -106 favorites with the Over (7.5), but lost on Saturday 5-3 as -164 favorites with the Over (7.5) again cashing. RF Heliot Ramos and C Austin Wells bother homered, but RP Michael Fulmer allowed a walkoff home run to PH Pavin Smith.
The Diamondbacks are 4 games out of the final Wild Card with 7 games left to play. They are 2-5 in their last 7 games, and their win on Saturday as +136 underdogs snapped a 3-game skid.
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Yankees at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Will Warren vs. RHP Corbin Burnes
Warren (10-6, 3.89 ERA) makes his 29th start and 31st appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 148 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 0 ER (2 R), 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 8-3 win at Minnesota Twins Monday
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 0-0, 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 1 start (April 1, 2025)
- 2026 road splits: 4-3, 3.96 ERA (72 2/3 IP, 32 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 15 games (14 starts)
Burnes (0-0, 5.87 ERA) makes his third start after returning from Tommy John surgery. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2 BB and 6 K in 7 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 8-7 home win over Miami Marlins Monday
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 1.93 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.73 WHIP, 11.6 K/9 in 4 starts
- 2026 home splits: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (3 IP, 0 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 1 start
Yankees at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Yankees -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees -1.5 (+165) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Yankees at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Yankees 6, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks have lost their last 3 home series. The Yankees have won 5 of their last 6 series. They are 19-9 in Warren's 28 starts, and he has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 6 straight outings.
Burnes gave up 2 homers in his last start. The Diamondbacks are 33-41 against teams with at least a .500 record.
BET YANKEES (-102).
Run line/Against the spread
BET YANKEES -1.5 (+145)
The Yankees' last 13 wins have been by 2 or more runs. Fourteen of the Diamondbacks' last 17 losses have been by multiple runs. If you're feeling adventuresome, consider Yankees -2.5 (+250) for an even bigger payout.
Over/Under
Seven of the Yankees' last 9 games have had totals of 9 or more. The total has been 9 or more in 16 of Warren's 30 appearances. The total was 15 in Burnes' last start.
The Over is 8-1 in the Yankees' last 9 games.
BET OVER 8 (-110).
Best prop bet
Will Warren OVER 15.5 pitcher outs (+120)
Warren has recorded at least 6 pitcher outs in 3 of his last 4 starts and in 15 of his 28 starts this season.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New York Yankees at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions
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