The Golden State Warriors (8-4) and San Antonio Spurs (10-2) meet Friday at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let's analyze NBA odds around the Warriors vs. Spurs odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025-26 season series: Tied 2-2; road team is 6-0 in last 6 meetings dating back to March 30, 2025, including 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in that span; the Over went 3-1 in last season's 4 contests.
Golden State (+6.5) lost 115-108 at Houston Wednesday night despite 25 points and 10 rebounds from rookie F Yaxel Lendeborg, halting an 8-game win streak. To make matters worse, G Stephen Curry suffered an oblique/abdominal tear in the first quarter. He is expected
to miss at least 2 weeks, adding to the long list of injuries for the Dubs.
Despite the non-cover, the Warriors are still an impressive 8-2 ATS in the past 10 games. The Over is 4-2 in the past 6 games and 7-3 across the previous 10 contests.
San Antonio (-15.5) failed to cover in a 124-119 victory at Chicago Wednesday, but it did win a 10th consecutive game. C Victor Wembanyama finished with 32 points, 9 rebounds, 5 blocks, 2 steals and 2 3-pointers while the Spurs had 7 players go for 10+ points as the Over (236.5) cashed. San Antonio is just 3-5 ATS in the past 8 games despite the winning ways, while the Under is 4-2 across the previous 6 contests.
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Warriors at Spurs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:27 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Spurs -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +12.5 (-115) | Spurs -12.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Warriors at Spurs key injuries
Warriors
- C Charles Bassey (toe) probable
- G Stephen Curry (oblique) out
- G Moses Moody (knee) out
- G Brandon Williams (hamstring) out
Spurs
- G De'Aaron Fox (hip) questionable
- F Tobias Harris (calf) out
- G Devin Vassell (adductor) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Warriors at Spurs picks and predictions
Prediction
Spurs 123, Warriors 101
Moneyline
The Spurs (-700) will cost 7 times the potential return, which is way too expensive for a standalone wager, and it is too much to include as part of a multi-leg parlay with 5 or fewer parts.
AVOID.
Against the spread
The SPURS -12.5 (-105) are the play despite the fact the Dubs have been red-hot lately. But, the Curry news is gigantic and will be a major deflator for the visitors, who have already been racked with injuries. Golden State has played very well despite mixing and matching lineups all season, but after a while, it gets impossible. Don't be surprised if the Warriors get their doors blown off.
Over/Under
OVER 217.5 (-115) is a strong play heading into Friday's battle.
San Antonio has scored 122+ points in 4 consecutive outings, but be careful with the Over. The Spurs defense had allowed 111 or fewer points in 9 consecutive games until Wednesday vs. the Bulls, and without Curry, the Warriors will struggle to get to that mark.
We'll need the Spurs to do most of the heavy lifting, and the way they've filled up the basket lately, that shouldn't be an issue.
Best prop bet
Bet Warriors F YAXEL LENDEBORG OVER 27.5 POINTS + REBOUNDS (-115).
The rookie is going to be leaned upon heavily with Curry out of commission. The 11th overall pick has proven to be a great selection in the NBA Draft, giving the Warriors a much-needed injection of youth and exuberance ... especially with all of the injuries. Expect Lendy to rack up the counting stats in this one.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions
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