The Minnesota Twins (67-73) and Chicago White Sox (73-67) meet Friday to commence a 3-game AL Central series. First pitch from Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois, is set for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze MLB odds around the Twins vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: White Sox lead 6-4
The Twins lost 11-6 to the Detroit Tigers Wednesday after annihilating their opponent a combined 26-3 in the first 2 games of the series. They closed as a -120 favorite in the finale with the over (8.5) cashing. Minnesota, which sits third in the AL Central, has struggled over the past few weeks, going 4-8 over its last 12 games.
The White Sox, who lead the AL Central, lost 6-2 to the Houston Astros Thursday,
closing as a +130 moneyline underdog with the Under (8.5) hitting. They ended up dropping 3 of 4 games in that series. Chicago hasn't maintained much consistency over the last 3 weeks, going just 8-8 in its previous 16 games. It is 3 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians in their race for the divisional crown.
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Twins at White Sox projected starters
RHP Zebby Matthews vs. RHP Erick Fedde
Matthews (9-8, 4.58 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 112 innings.
- Last start: Win, 8 1/3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 5-1 home victory vs. White Sox Sunday
- Career vs. White Sox: 1-1, 3.24 ERA (25 IP, 9 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 4 starts
- 2026 road splits: 4-4, 6.38 ERA (55 IP, 39 ER), 1.42 WHIP, 13 HR< 17 BB, 58 K in 10 starts
Fedde (7-8, 4.16 ERA) makes his 14th start (30th appearance). He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.4 K/9 in 123 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 win at Twins Saturday
- Career vs. Twins: 4-0, 1.36 ERA (33 IP, 5 ER), 0.73 WHIP, 8.5 K/9 in 6 starts
- 2026 home splits: 2-2, 3.38 ERA (58 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 12 HR, 23 BB, 37 K in 14 appearances (4 starts)
Twins at White Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | White Sox -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+165) | White Sox +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -118)
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Twins at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
White Sox 5, Twins 3
Moneyline
BET WHITE SOX (-120).
The pitching discrepancy is huge here. Matthews has a road ERA of 6.38 and hasn't performed well away from home, while Fedde has dominated the Twins. Chicago has won 4 of its last 6 home games as well.
Minnesota, while it was on fire offensively against Detroit, hasn't sustained that for much of the season. It has scored 4 runs or fewer in 4 of its last 8 games. The Twins are 1-7 in their last 8 away contests.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Avoid this play. The Twins -1.5 (+160) are too risky to take as an ATS favorite here, while the White Sox +1.5 (-200) are far too risky as the underdog.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 9.5 (-118).
The Twins are trending toward the Over here, solely due to throttling the Tigers. They are still just 3-2 O/U in their last 5 games. Minnesota has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 3 of its last 4 games, so it has defended well.
For the White Sox, they are 1-5 O/U in their previous 6 outings. Chicago has scored a total of 14 runs in that span and have gone Under in Fedde's last 2 starts.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions
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