The Miami Heat (3-6) and Sacramento Kings (1-8) meet Sunday from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California. Tip is set for 9 p.m. ET. Let's analyze NBA odds around the Heat vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025-26 season series: Tied 1-1 with each team winning on the road
The Heat lost to the Golden State Warriors 120-100 Thursday, failing to cover as a 3.5-point road underdog with the Under (236.5) cashing. G Davion Mitchell led the team with 22 points on 9 of 18 shooting. Miami has traded off winning and losing over its last 4 games and is 1-3 against the spread (ATS) in that span. It is 2-7 ATS on the season.
The Kings lost to the San Antonio Spurs 124-109 Friday, covering as a 17.5-point home underdog
as the Over (231.5) hit. Sacramento was led by rookie G Darius Acuff Jr., who scored 22 points and dished out 8 assists. The Kings are among the 3 teams in the Western Conference without multiple wins. They are 3-6 ATS.
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Heat at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:41 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Kings +340 (bet $100 to win $340)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -10.5 (-105) | Kings +10.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 237.5 (O: -118 | U: -110)
Heat at Kings key injuries
Heat
- None
Kings
- F Keegan Murray (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 118, Kings 110
Moneyline
PASS.
Avoid this play. The Heat (-450), despite being on the road, should come out on top with ease, but they are far too expensive to consider here.
Against the spread
BET KINGS +10.5 (-115).
The Kings' defense has actually improved a bit as of late. They allowed 121 points or more in their first 6 games of the season, but have limited 2 of their last 3 opponents to 116 or fewer. Sacramento was 1-5 ATS to start the season and has improved there as well, going 2-1 ATS in its last 3 outings.
The Heat, especially as a favorite, have struggled significantly. They are just 1-4 ATS when favored and have given up at least 113 points in every game this season. Expect those shortcomings to continue for Miami and back KINGS +10.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 237.5 (-110).
Both teams come into this one with slight Under trends. The Kings have gone south of the total in 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 115 points or fewer in each outing. The Heat are on their fourth game of their road trip out West and are 1-2 O/U in that span. They are 4-5 O/U on the season.
Best prop bet
Kings G DARIUS ACUFF JR. UNDER 23.5 POINTS (-110).
Likely to be hounded by Mitchell, the rookie Acuff Jr. will have a tough time getting clean shots Sunday. He's gone Under this total in 2 straight games and is just 17 of 44 shooting in that span. His struggles should continue against Miami.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions
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