The New England Patriots (5-4) and Detroit Lions (6-2) square off Sunday at FC Bayern Munich Stadium in Munich, Germany. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze NFL odds around the Patriots vs. Lions odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Patriots turned the ball over 4 times, which Green Bay turned into 21 points, as the visiting Packers (+3.5) cruised to 45-27 (Over 45) victory last Sunday. Green Bay's 45 points set a record for most allowed by the Patriots at Gillette Stadium. Patriots QB Drake Maye completed 21 of 38 passes for 299 yards and 3 TDs, but also tossed 3 INTs for the second time this season. Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson, who rushed for 32 yards on 6 carries, had the Patriots'
other turnover, a fumble in the third quarter. Packers QB Jordan Love completed 23 of 29 passes for 372 yards and 3 TDs, with WR Christian Watson catching 7 passes for 171 yards and 1 TD and WR Matthew Golden bringing in 10 passes for 164 yards and 1 TD.
The Lions held the Dolphins to 228 total yards and RB Jahmyr Gibbs (20 carries, 74 yards) scored the game's lone TD as Detroit escaped Miami with a 19-9 victory last Sunday. Lions QB Jared Goff set season lows for completions (17) and yards (170), threw an INT and failed to throw a TD pass for the first time this season. The Lions were 3 of 12 on third down, but 4 of 4 on fourth down. Lions K Jake Bates hit 4 of 4 FG attempts -- his second game with 4 FGs this season --- with a long of 43.
The Patriots lead the all-time series vs. the Lions 8-5. The teams haven't played since Oct. 9, 2022, with the Patriots beating the visiting Lions 29-0.
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Patriots vs. Lions odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 1:45 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Patriots +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Lions -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Patriots +2.5 (-102) | Lions -2.5 (-118)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -108)
Patriots vs. Lions key injuries
PATRIOTS
- WR A.J. Brown (ankle/knee) questionable
- G/C Ben Brown (knee) out
- S Kevin Byard III (chest) questionable
- CB Carlton Davis III (knee) out
- FB Reggie Gilliam (knee) questionable
- RB TreVeyon Henderson (illness) out
- TE Cameron Latu (back) questionable
- OL Walter Rouse (concussion) questionable
- S Brenden Schooler (hamstring) questionable
- RB Rhamondre Stevenson (knee) questionable
- OL Greg Van Roten (hamstring) questionable
- CB Charles Woods (hamstring) questionable
LIONS
- S Kerby Joseph (knee) out
- C Cade Mays (ankle) out
- CB D.J. Reed (hip) out
- WR Amon-Ra St. Brown (rib) questionable
- RB Sione Vaki (ankle) questionable
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Patriots vs. Lions picks and predictions
Prediction
Lions 27, Patriots 23
Moneyline
PASS.
The Patriots are 0-2 vs. NFC North foes this season. Last week's abysmal outing vs. the Packers came 2 weeks after a 30-24 loss at the Chicago Bears.
Against the spread
BET LIONS -2.5 (-118).
It's been an odd season for the Lions. They scored at least 26 points in each of their first 5 games, but were 3-2 with the defense allowing at least 24 points in 4 of the 5 games. Over their last 3 games, they're 3-0 despite failing to score more than 20 points in any of the games.
It's tough to say whether the defense is that much improved or if it's a quirk in the schedule. Two of the games were against a pair of the worst offenses in the league (Dolphins and Vikings), but they also held the Packers, who just put up 45 against the Patriots, to 17 points.
All 4 Patriots losses this season have been by at least 3 points.
Over/Under
PASS.
The total has been fluctuating all week, but whether it's 51.5, 50.5 or 49.5, I'm steering clear. My score prediction comes right at 50 and I can see a swing by a couple points in either direction.
Best prop bet
BET LIONS K JAKE BATES OVER 2.5 EXTRA POINTS MADE (+103 at Draft Kings Sportsbook)
For all intents and purposes, this one comes down to whether the Lions can score 3+ TDs or not. After scoring 3+ TDs in each of their first 5 games, they've only scored 2 TDs in each of their last 3, which is surprising for an offense that features Goff, Gibbs, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown and TE Sam LaPorta. Both the Bears and Packers scored at least 3 TDs in their games vs. Patriots. I think the Lions become the third NFC North team to have it way against the Patriots defense and Bates kicks at least 3 extra points.
Betting odds calculator
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: New England Patriots vs. Detroit Lions odds, picks and predictions
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