The Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) and the Cleveland Browns (2-1) meet for Thursday Night Football in Week 4 at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let's analyze NFL odds around the Steelers vs. Browns odds and make our expert NFL picks and predictions for the best bets.
The Steelers lead the all-time series 83-65-1, but Cleveland won the most recent meeting 13-6 at home last Dec. 28. The Browns have won 4 in a row at home in this series, with the last win in Cleveland by the Steelers coming in a 15-10 victory as a 3-point underdog in 2021. The home team has covered 9 in a row in the series since that most recent Pittsburgh win in Cleveland. The Under has cashed in 3 consecutive meetings.
Pittsburgh outlasted the Cincinnati Bengals as a 3.5-point underdog in Week 3 as the Over (42.5) cashed, while going 2-1 against the spread (ATS), as the Under is also 2-1 in 3 outings. The Steelers have allowed 20.0 points per game (PPG) this season.
Cleveland opened with a 34-10 egg-laying in Jacksonville in Week 1, but it has posted back-to-back victories against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Carolina Panthers. The Browns had a come-from-behind 21-18 win over the Panthers in their home opener in Week 3 as a 2.5-point underdog as the Under (41.5) cashed.
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Best prop bets
Steelers at Browns odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:27 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Steelers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Browns +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread (ATS): Steelers -3 (-105) | Browns +3 (-125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 38.5 (O: -108 | U: -110)
Steelers at Browns injuries
Steelers
- RB Rico Dowdle (toe) out
- CB Brandin Echols (concussion) questionable
- CB Joey Porter Jr. (conditioning, back) out
- CB Jalen Ramsey (wrist) questionable
Browns
- C/OG Elgton Jenkins (concussion) out
- OG Teven Jenkins (back) out
- WR Tylan Wallace (knee) out
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Steelers at Browns picks and predictions
Prediction
Browns 20, Steelers 18
Moneyline
The BROWNS (+125) are a strong play at plus-money, as these aren't your typical Cleveland Browns. They've won the past 2 games, showing plenty of moxie with a road win in a revenge game against Baker Mayfield and the Bucs, before a late comeback by QB Deshaun Watson in the fourth quarter against the Panthers.
The last time Cleveland won 3 games in a row was a 4-game win streak with QB Joe Flacco under center Dec. 10-28, 2023, the last time the Browns made the playoffs.
Against the spread
If you're a little more conservative, take BROWNS +3 (-125) catching the points. It would be even better if we were able to get 3 and a hook, or a flat 4.
Again, the home team has cashed in 9 consecutive meetings, and the Browns have won 3 in a row at home.
Over/Under
UNDER 38.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.
The Under cashed in the home opener for Cleveland, but the Over was 2-0 in the first 2 road games. Cleveland's offense is averaging 18.0 PPG, while allowing 18.5 PPG in the past 2 outings.
For Pittsburgh, the Under is 2-1 in 3 games, while it was beaten 20-3 in New England in the only previous road game this season, easily going low on the total.
Betting odds calculator
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow Daniel Dobish on X at @danieledobish. Follow SportsbookWire on X at SportsBookWire and on Facebook.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns odds, picks and predictions
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