The Houston Astros (73-71) and Philadelphia Phillies (81-63) meet Tuesday to commence a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze MLB odds around the Astros vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
2025 season series: Astos won 3-0
The Astros lost to the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-2 Sunday as a -121 moneyline favorite as the Under (8) hit with ease. Houston dropped the final 2 games in that series, but is still a solid 5-3 over its last 8 games. The Astros sit atop the NL West, 2 games ahead of the Texas Rangers.
The Phillies are second in the NL East, 4 games behind the Atlanta Braves, but they are No. 1 in the NL Wild Card. Philadelphia
beat the Braves 1-0 Monday, trading off winning and losing in that 4-game series. It has won 8 of its last 11 overall and 9 of its last 11 at home.
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Astros at Phillies projected starters
RHP Hayden Wesneski vs. RHP Andrew Painter
Wesneski (4-1, 3.18 ERA) makes his eighth start. He has a 1.06 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 39 2/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 2-0 home victory vs. Chicago White Sox Wednesday
- Career vs. Phillies: 1-1, 4.96 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 9.9 K/9 in 2 starts (4 appearances)
- 2026 road splits: 2-0, 3.57 ERA (17 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.19 WHIP, 2 HR, 6 BB, 14 K in 3 starts
Painter (3-8, 5.55 ERA) makes his 20th career start (22nd appearance). The 23-year-old rookie has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 105 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 1-0 loss at Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
- First time facing Astros
- 2026 home splits: 2-5, 5.81 ERA (48 IP, 31 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 8 HR, 15 BB, 46 K in 9 starts (10 appearances)
Astros at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Astros +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Phillies -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-165) | Phillies -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -118 | U: -102)
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Astros at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 4, Phillies 3
Moneyline
BET ASTROS (+125).
The Astros have dominated with Wesneski on the mound. They've gone 6-1 in his 7 starts, and he has allowed just 1 ER in his last 17 IP. Houston has won 2 of 3 games in its last 3 road series, with one of those being against the 81-win New York Yankees.
The Phillies have been hot over the last few weeks, but more recently, their offense has struggled. They've scored a total of 11 runs across their last 5 games and were held to 2 runs or fewer in 3 of those contests. Philadelphia is 2-3 in its last 5 outings.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Avoid this play. The Astros +1.5 (-165) are too expensive to consider here as an underdog, while the Phillies -1.5 (+135) are a bit risky as the favorite, especially given Painter's inconsistency this season.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-102).
Neither side is really surging offensively, and that's concerning here.
The Phillies, who are 65-73-6 O/U, have gone 1-3-1 O/U in their last 5 games. They've allowed 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 11 games. The Astros have ended south of the total in 6 straight contests and in Wesneski's last 3 starts. They've scored a total of 8 runs in their last 3 games.
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This article originally appeared on Sportsbook Wire: Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions
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