The White Sox seemed to bottom out in their rebuild in 2024 when they lost 121 games. They improved by 19 wins last year, and actually added some high-priced free agents this winter like closer Seranthony Dominguez and Japanese slugger Munetaka Murakami. But it has been a tough slog for them already this year, with sweeps at the hands of the Brewers, and earlier this week, the Orioles. They’ve lost five of six on the road and have been outscored 52-21.
Chicago White Sox (4-8) vs. Kansas City Royals
(5-7) at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
White Sox: 3.42 runs scored/game (26th in MLB), 5.83 runs allowed/game (28th)
Royals: 3.75 runs scored/game (21st), 4.75 runs allowed/game (21st)
White Sox hitters have the third highest-strikeout rate in baseball, and the third-lowest batting average. Murakami became the first Japanese player to hit four home runs in his first eight games, but he is just 1-for-11 in his last eight games. Andrew Benintendi was 10-for-29 (.345) against his old Royals club last year. Colson Montgomery tied for the most home runs (21) by any shortstop in baseball last year from July 1 until the end of the season. Catcher Edgar Quero is hitting just .1478/.233/.148 to start the year, while the other top catching prospect, Kyle Teel, is out with injury.
Miguel Vargas hits much better on the road in his career with a line of .224/.307/.414. In addition to Teel, the White Sox are without Austin Slater and Brooks Baldwin, who are out with injury.
*-All numbers from 2025 +indicates numbers in Japan
The White Sox signed Anthony Kay after he led the NPB in Japan in groundball rate last year. Kay was a journeyman before going to Asia, pitching in parts of five seasons with the Blue Jays, Cubs, and Mets. He walked four hitters in 4.2 innings in his first start, but allowed just two runs. In his second outing, he was the “bulk reliever”, giving up two runs in 4.1 innings with two walks and no strikeouts.
Davis Martin won each of his first two starts with six strikeouts in each outing, and no runs allowed in his last game against the Blue Jays. He has a 2.67 ERA in five career starts against the Royals. He has a deep arsenal that includes a four-seamer, change, cutter, sinker, curve, and slider, that helped him put up a 45.9 percent ground ball rate last year.
Erick Fedde returns to the White Sox after pitching for three teams last year. He gave up just two runs in six innings in a loss to the Orioles his last time out. Vinnie Pasquantino is 3-for-7 (.429) with a home run in their career matchups. Lefties hit .310/.395/.527 against him last year.
Jonathan Cannon seems likely to get the call up to start the Sunday game after Opening Day starter Shane Smith was demoted. Cannon has a 5.09 ERA in 228 MLB innings over the past two seasons and gave up eight runs in 8.2 innings in Triple-A this year. The White Sox could also go with Duncan Davitt, who has yet to make his MLB debut, or go with a bullpen game.
*-All numbers from 2025 + indicates numbers in Japan
The White Sox overhauled their bullpen, but aside from Dominguez, much of the bullpen are castoffs from other organizations. So far, White Sox relievers have a 5.71 ERA, sixth-worst in baseball (but better than the Royals at 6.40!) Dominguez has converted one of his two save opportunities, but hasn’t pitched since last Saturday. Grant Taylor had the second-largest gap by any reliever with 30+ innings between ERA and FIP last year, and had the 12th-highest strikeout rate. He has been used as an opener to start games three times this year. Lefty Chris Murphy has given up seven runs in six innings and opponents are hitting .333/.438/.556 against him.
*-All numbers from 2025
I wrote last month the White Sox may be friskier than last season, but this is still far from a quality Major League roster. The pitching staff has a lot of holes, with unproven talent and veterans way past their prime. Royals bats have been quiet so far, but higher temps at home (with a chance of wet weather) and a White Sox pitching staff should be just what they need to wake up.
