The Green Bay Packers (6-3) are set to be three-point favorites over the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) in Week 10, according to FanDuel’s numbers. That number comes with a little juice at -120, and the Packers are -178 favorites, which comes with an implied probability of 64 percent.
If you had said this a few weeks ago, when the Packers’ offensive line was drowning, no one would have bought it. Now, after Green Bay finally had a 100-yard rushing performance and beat down on the New England Patriots in all three
phases of the game, it looks like the Packers have a real opportunity to make a push for the postseason.
The Vikings have played two fewer games than the Packers because: 1) they’ve already had their bye week and 2) they’re playing on Monday Night Football against the Buffalo Bills. After that game, they’ll have a short(er) week and have to travel on the road to Lambeau Field.
Their starting quarterback, Kyler Murray, is currently dealing with a hamstring injury and will not play against the Bills. We’ll have to see if it heals up by the time they kick off against the Packers, or if it’ll be Carson Wentz — their current replacement starter — under center. The only other quarterback in Minnesota is Max Brosmer (53-man roster).
Below is the current playoff picture in the NFC:
- San Francisco 49ers: 7-1 (NFC West)
- Minnesota Vikings: 6-1 (NFC North)
- New York Giants: 5-2-1 (NFC East)
- Carolina Panthers: 3-5 (NFC South)
- Chicago Bears: 7-2
- Detroit Lions: 6-2
- Green Bay Packers: 6-3
- Seattle Seahawks: 5-4
- Los Angeles Rams: 5-4
- Dallas Cowboys: 4-5
- New Orleans Saints: 3-5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3-6
- Atlanta Falcons: 3-6
- Arizona Cardinals: 3-6
- Washington Commanders: 2-5-1
- Philadelphia Eagles: 2-7
The Packers are holding onto the seventh seed right now, where they’ve been for weeks, but the NFC North keeps winning — as do the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams, the teams trying to hunt them down from behind. The NFC is so wonky, with the “good” teams being in the North and West, not the South and East, that the 3-6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers currently have about as good a chance of making the playoffs (by winning the NFC South) as do the Los Angeles Rams (a .500 team that is essentially locked into a playoff spot or nothing in 2026), per The Athletic’s playoff simulator.
In short, there are seven North and West teams fighting for five playoff spots in the NFC, and then there’s whatever the hell is happening in the East and South. Do not be surprised at all if a sub-.500 NFC South team ends up hosting a 12-5 (or better record) NFC North team in the wild card round this year.
