For the first time in our Chicago Bears prop series, we get to do playoff props! The Bears welcome the Packers on Saturday night in what should be an interesting game, and also difficult to gauge exactly how this game will play out this far in advance when we don’t know exactly what the wind conditions are going to be. I’m going to assume that elements could play a part in the game, but I don’t think they will dominate this game. I think the teams will be able to establish some level of a passing
game, but there could be some snow and some issues that make the game a little more interesting.
We took a little time off and didn’t do props for the last two games (I would never bet props in week 18 anyway), but we left you after going 3-0 against the Packers in week 16, and our record sits at 30-15 on the season. Here are the three props for the Bears and Packers on Wild Card weekend.
D’Andre Swift OVER 61.5 Rushing Yards -114
I suppose you could call this one a little bit of a roll of the dice. Swift hasn’t gone over this number in his last three games, but I think that Ben Johnson is going to have a mentality that he will want to dominate the line of scrimmage and force his will upon the Green Bay Packers. I think the Bears work hard to establish a strong run game early and make sure the Packers’ defense is on their heels early. I think that happens, and Swift is over 70, if not 80 yards.
Caleb Williams OVER 208.5 Passing Yards -114
Caleb Williams has gone over this number in his last four games, and I don’t see why he wouldn’t in this game. He has his full assortment of weapons back, and the Packers’ defense is giving up almost 400 yards per game since the Micah Parsons injury. I expect this Bears- Packers game to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams at least in the 20s, and if that’s the case, there’s no reason to think Williams isn’t somewhere between 220 and 250 in the passing yardage.
Jordan Love OVER 220.5 Passing Yards -114
If you think Love is going to be rusty or you think the wind is going to impact the passing game, you need to steer clear of these QB overs, but I think both these teams will handle the weather just fine, and I just don’t know how the Packers don’t have a decent amount of success throwing the football.
Love went over this number in the team’s first matchup, and obviously, he was hurt in the second matchup, so set that one aside. I expect scoring, and I expect it from both teams. Love should be north of 240 yards in this one.
BONUS: Rome Odunze OVER 36.5 Receiving Yards -114
I know things have changed since Odunze last stepped on the field for Chicago. I know Colston Loveland and Luther Burden have both emerged as bigger pieces to this offense, and DJ Moore is getting his touches as well. But Odunze always is the guy that pops during scramble drills, and I don’t see any reason why that’s going to change. Oduzne is a bit of a comfort object for Caleb Williams. He missed 5 games this year and still led the team in targets. I think it would be odd if Odunze suddenly didn’t get many targets upon his return.
I don’t know if Odunze gets flooded with 8 or 9 targets, but he should get a solid handful, and that should be enough to push him into the 40s or 50s for his yardage total. Not an official play, just a bonus play I’m suggesting.
