Last week, I guessed that even after a strong start to the season, FSU likely wouldn’t look exactly like the Seminoles of the past two years, when the year started with double-digit win streaks (15 in 2025, 19 in 2024).
My prediction was proven correct, just earlier than expected.
After winning the first two games of the week, including the opening matchup of the Amegy Bank College Baseball Series against Michigan, by a combined score of 19-4, FSU’s weekend fell apart with back-to-back defeats to Auburn
and Nebraska, leaving Link Jarrett’s team .500 on the week and 4-2 on the season.
Losses are a part of baseball, and we’ve known that the lineup and bullpen were always going to be a work in progress to begin the year, so sounding the alarm bells six games into the year is not needed. However, the way Florida State was outclassed by both the Tigers and Cornhuskers does raise eyebrows.
Both of those squads knew what they were, with their lineup and decisions reflecting that. Florida State, on the other hand, lacks a true identity right now. Jarrett believes his team will be buoyed by its pitching and defense, yet each made numerous mistakes over the weekend and was the main culprit of the two defeats.
At the plate, the lineup lacks the veracity to continue flipping over, leading to inconsistent at-bats and a team that is not working together to break down opposing pitching staffs. Auburn and Nebraska fired secondary pitches over and over again, and nobody in the batting order found a response or a way through.
Jarrett does not know his best nine players right now, where they fit in the field and how they should work together. And while there’s confidence that he eventually will, until he does, more losses like the ones on Saturday and Sunday will be in the picture.
Three up
No. 1: Wes Mendes
While the roster is littered with question marks, Wes Mendes is providing an answer on the mound. A week after going 5.0 shutout innings to begin the year, the junior fired 5 1/3 innings on Friday without allowing a run, running his scoreless streak to 10/3 innings to begin the season.
“The slider and changeup were definitely in play,” he said of his performance. “I got a lot of weak contact, a lot jams, some foul balls. Everything felt great, really.”
Almost everything that Mendes set out to work on in the offseason has borne fruit in his opening two starts. His fastball looks more lively and can attack both sides of the plate. He has a feel for multiple secondary pitches, including a nasty slider and changeup. With multiple pitches in play, and with the help of pitching coach Micah Posey, he methodically works through starts by showing different pitches at different times in his outing. On Friday, he went almost exclusively fastball the first time through the order, before going offspeed-heavy as the lineup flipped over. However, above all, Mendes appears to have the mettle this year to be a bona fide Friday-night ace and not let appearances spiral on him anymore. In the fourth inning on Friday, an error and another ball that could have been fielded put two Wolverines on with nobody out. The lefty bailed out his defense with a strikeout and back-to-back popups to retire the side.
Of course, it is early in the year, and the Tampa native still has to prove he can fill the massive shoes left by Jamie Arnold last season. But, to start the campaign, he has been Florida State’s best player, and that might be the most valuable development on the roster.
No. 2: Gabe Fraser
With so much uncertainty and turnover in the batting order, especially in the bottom half, Link Jarrett needs somebody to lock down a spot for themselves. Arkansas transfer Gabe Fraser took a step toward doing that this week.
After picking up an RBI in Tuesday’s midweek game against Jacksonville, Fraser put together his best performance as a Seminole on Friday, going 3-5, with two runs scored and finishing a home run shy of the cycle. A day later, versus Auburn, the sophomore was the only Florida State player to record a multi-hit game, going 2-3 with an RBI and two runs scored. He walked on Sunday to run his on-base streak to six games.
“There’s power to all fields. It’s plus arm strength. He can really run,” Jarrett said of Fraser’s three-hit day on Friday. “We just have to find the right spot for him and let him settle.”
While the defense is still a work in progress, it is hard not to get excited about the potential of Fraser at the plate. His extra-base hits on Friday were each to the opposite field, as he possesses the power and ability to spray the ball all over the yard. The infielder also plays an important role in the order as he offers Jarrett another left-handed bat behind Brayden Dowd and Myles Bailey.
It will be a lot for Fraser to play every day after recording only 52 at-bats a season ago, but Florida State needs him to reach his potential if they want to reach theirs.
No. 3: John Abraham
This is what John Abraham is supposed to look like.
The right-handed reliever made two appearances this week, against JU and Michigan, and overpowered whoever came to the plate. On Tuesday, Abraham went 2.0 innings while striking out three and allowing only one base runner. Three days later, in the series opener in Arlington, the Tampa native relieved Mendes and went 2.1 innings, a season-long, without giving up a run or hit, as he continued to shut down the Wolverine lineup. The piggybacking of Mendes and Abraham has been a successful partnership for Florida State, with opponents needing to deal with an LHP and an RHP back-to-back whose pitches profile differently. Abraham has also proven he can go multiple innings and run his pitch count to 40-50, helping shorten the game on the back end.
“Abraham continues to be sharp,” Jarrett said. “That’s a good mixture to go from Mendes to Abraham. I think that’s tough on any group of hitters.
Abraham has been plagued by inconsistencies during his career, but if this start to the year is true, FSU may finally have a trusted, high-octane arm out of the bullpen they desperately need.
Three down
No. 1: Quality of at-bat
Florida State’s weekend can almost perfectly be summed up as an awesome first 10 innings and a horrid 17 innings in 27 frames of play in Texas. As Brett Nevitt tweeted out on Sunday, FSU finished the final 17 innings in Arlington going 4-57 with 25 strikeouts and two runs scored, with one of those being a solo homer from Myles Bailey.
“The quality of at-bat was clearly not good enough,” Jarrett acknowledged after the Nebraska game. “Again, a lot of strikeouts…The ratio of good at-bats was not enough.”
Florida State did not work together to control the zone and struggled mightily against secondary pitches, mainly sliders. On Saturday, FSU struck out 13 times with four players punching out multiple times, with only two walks drawn. Sunday was a similar number as Florida State struck out 14 times with only three walks.
Sometimes teams have bad weekends, and that is certainly the case here, but the amount of swing-and-miss may be a feature and not a bug of the FSU lineup, with a number of players being asked to play in elevated roles for the first time in their careers.
No. 2: Defensive savviness
To describe strong defense, Link Jarrett often uses the word savvy instead of looking at obvious numbers like errors or fielding percentage.
The head coach knew that they fell short of that this week.
“We have to play cleaner,” he said after FSU’s win over Michigan. “There were some things that were unsettling for me in the infield, but we’ll keep working on it.”
Florida State committed an error on Tuesday before committing three more on Friday against Michigan. The Noles only had one error the rest of the weekend, but that did not tell the whole story. Multiple balls got over the heads of outfielders, Bryson Moore threw a pick-off attempt into center field, and the catchers struggled to block pitches in front of them, which allowed a free 90 feet to runners on base. Whether it was obvious errors like Cal Fisher’s woeful throw to first in the top of the fourth on Friday, or small mistakes, none of the defense felt clean throughout the weekend. Jarrett often told the press how worried he is about replacing the consistency of Alex Lodise and Drew Faurot, and to begin the year, Florida State has not done that.
No. 3: Leadership
Admittedly, this is hard to objectify, but being in Arlington this weekend, I felt like Florida State lacked someone to take the games by the scruff of the neck and pull the team into the fight. Obviously, that does not mean it needs to be a vocal leader, but nobody stepped up as the games got away from them. However, FSU did not have someone consistently loud on the bench or in the dugout, as Brennan Oxford was two years ago and Mason McDougall was last season. I felt that the Seminoles needed someone to provide more energy for them, and as the coaching staff sorts out the hierarchy on the field, it seems the players need to figure it out off of it.
