Every now and then, the Opta supercomputer’s numbers are something I like to seek out. Not because I am stone-cold set on them being the only piece of data that matters, but it is interesting to see what the big and bold projection models spit out when it comes to our beloved Juventus.
And after being predicted to finish in the top four back before a minute of the 2026-27 season had been played, it is a very different kind of story as we approach the point in the season where a third of the games
have been played.
Top four finish? Ha, yeah right. That’s far from what is being thought of now.
According to the Opta supercomputer’s projections as we sit here in the first couple of days of the November international break, Juventus’ chances of finishing in the top four and qualifying for the Champions League stand at all of … 19.15 percent. Yep, that’s it. As we sit here during the second week of November, things are already not looking good for Juventus when it comes to their standing in the Serie A table and their quest to actually get back into the top four after their sixth-place finish last season.
The problem is, Juve are being projected to finish in sixth place again this season.
And thus, no Champions League — and the loads of money that comes with it — that will follow.
I’m guessing some of you might be thinking “Oh, but this is only a computer, these games happen on the field!” — and you’d be right. But, at the same time, the Opta supercomputer projected that Juventus wouldn’t likely do much beyond the Champions League play-off round. It turns out, that was right on the money, as the Bianconeri crashed out of the play-off round with a loss to Turkish giants Galatasaray over the two-legged tie.
So, not like we can totally dismiss what the supercomputer is telling us. The supercomputer knows a thing or two!
Of course, we don’t necessarily need to look at the projections about what could happen in the future to tell us that Juventus are in a pretty precarious spot all of 11 games into the 2026-27 season. As they sit in seventh place during this international break, they are six points off fourth-place AC Milan with one of the head-to-head matchups already having been played. They’ve also got fifth-place Como in their way, along with everybody’s favorite Cinderella story in Frosinone also ahead of them in the standings.
On top of that, Juventus are 11 points off surprise league leaders Lazio and closer to 18th-place Monza (10 points) than they are to Rino Gattuso’s squad atop the table.
Fact is, Juventus has a ton of work to do if they want to get back into a serious run for a place in the top four — and that is something that both our own two eyes as well as the Opta supercomputer has now told us.
