We’re deep in the offseason and, well … the Golden State Warriors still really haven’t done anything. Seems like a good time for a mailbag. The community had some great questions!
Warriorrallis:
How to save the NBAI ain’t streaming sporting events so likely a mute point as my sports fandom is likely nearing its end
On court/screen animation is annoying as hell
The kersey’s are going the way of NASCAR
The NBA, like NASCAR, is in a fantastic place economically. The jersey patches are ugly, the court advertisements
are distracting, and it’s infuriating that you have to subscribe to 17 different streaming platforms to watch every game. But the sport is reaching more fans than ever before and making more money than ever before. I don’t think it’s particularly in need of saving, even if it’s at times frustrating.
NorthStateWarrior530:
Is this roster better than their record last season would suggest?
Talent wise, absolutely. There’s no way that you can look at a team with Steph Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porziņģis, and a solid bench, with Steve Kerr coaching it, and think the true talent level is 37 wins. But the annual question with the Warriors is: how healthy can they be to actualize on the talent that’s on the roster?
If the question is, “Will they win more games than last year?” then I’m still saying “yes,” though. Sure, Butler and Moses Moody are going to play fewer games this season than last, but they’ll have a full season of Porziņģis, and even with his many health issues, he should far exceed the 15 games he played with Golden State a year ago. More importantly, Curry should play more than 43 games this year … and, as a reminder, the team went 24-19 when Curry played last year, and 13-26 when he didn’t.
So yeah. Even with Butler’s injury, I think this roster is better than a 37-45 team … there are just abounding questions about actualizing that.
NorthStateWarrior530:
Is 2nd place in the Pacific Division a realistic expectation? With the Clippers clearly sinking to the bottom and the Kings with their general ineptitude, it’s really a 3-way race to the top of the Pacific Division between the Suns, Warriors, and Lakers. I imagine the Lakers will be at the top, but is Bridges really that much of a difference maker for the Suns?
Perhaps this is me being overly semantic, but I would change the word “expectation” to “goal.” The Lakers, Suns, and Warriors could shake out in any combination, and heck, the Clippers could even get into that group depending on how the Kawhi Leonard situation shakes out.
I’m skeptical that Miles Bridges will make a big difference on the Suns (other than making them the easiest team in the league to hate), but Phoenix did win eight more games than the Dubs last season. The goal should be to finish ahead of the Suns — and maybe even the Lakers, depending on how the post-LeBron era goes — but I’m not sure if it’s an expectation, per se. It should be close, though. I would predict Golden State to finish second, but I’m always a little higher on the Warriors than I should be.
ScottWarrior:
1. where do you think JK will end up next season and for how much?
2. Given the Warriors admitted not really contending, just playing hard and with dignity, do you think it is safe to assume they are not going to do any trades during the season?
3. What two teams in the East are you looking forward to see playing against each other next season?
4. What Warriors player will be discussed the most on this blog next season?Thank you for your answers. Feel free to answer as few or as many as you want, but if other people don’t have much to ask, I may get lucky to see all my questions answered.
I always appreciate the great questions, ScottWarrior! Let’s take them in order…
I think Jonathan Kuminga ends up on the Lakers. That’s where the bulk of the smoke has been, and I tend to believe that, more often than not, things get resolved where the smoke is wafting. Especially since there aren’t exactly teams lining up to sign JK. The Lakers also make the most sense, both for the team and for Kuminga. From LA’s standpoint, they’re in desperate need of athleticism and someone who can replace Rui Hachimura; from Kuminga’s standpoint, there’s a clear opening in the starting lineup and limited options on the bench, meaning he has an avenue towards the playing time he covets.
The biggest hold up has been, as it was last year, I disagreement between Kuminga’s camp and the rest of the basketball world with regards to what he’s worth. Last year Kuminga and his agent held out and won that disagreement, due to Golden State’s unique situation. This year? I don’t think they win, and will have to settle for a modest contract.
One of the big issues, though, is that the Lakers don’t have the cap space to sign Kuminga outright, and would likely have to execute a sign-and-trade. But sign-and-trades have to be for a minimum of three years. It’s a little hard to imagine anyone agreeing with Kuminga on what a fair value over the life of a three-year deal would be. So I’d expect something in the $8-12 million annually range, with opt-outs so that Kuminga can once again test a market that his agent seems eternally convinced will materialize.
As for your second question, Golden State’s openness to making a midseason trade will, I think, depend on two huge facters: how they’re playing, and who is available. The Dubs are open about not being a contending team right now, but getting back to contention as quickly as possible is always the goal. They might be content to go into the season aiming for the back end of the playoffs (what other option do they have), but they’re not giving up on contending while Curry and Butler are still around.
If the Warriors overachieve and are comfortably above .500 in January as they prepare for Butler’s return, then they’ll be hitting the trade market hard. If a disgruntled star becomes available, they’ll make a run … as they did for LeBron James, and Kevin Durant, and LeBron James, and Giannis Antetokounmpo, and LeBron James. But I certainly wouldn’t expect any notable trades.
Great question about Eastern Conference matchups. From a theatrical standpoint, the Philadelphia 76ers vs. the Boston Celtics will be the most must-watch games of the season. Two of the best teams in the East, already rivals, both fully revamped for a contending year, and you add in the Jaylen Brown storyline? Might as well get Netfliux there for the documentary.
From a pure basketball standpoint, though, I think I’m most curious about watching the Sixers face the Miami Heat. Seeing how those teams match up against each other is going to be absolutely fascinating, if we’re ever lucky enough to watch them play when everyone is healthy.
And finally, the player that will be discussed most on Golden State of Mind this year: Brandin Podziemski. Between the inconsistent play, the personality that has stans and haters alike, and the large payday that he is coveting (and likely to receive), there will be no shortage of talking points for Podz this year. The discourse will run wild!
greg156:
do you see curry, green or even klay embracing a ginobili-type future (2027-28+) where they sign for peanuts, come off the bench, play 15-20’ and help the team go forward?
Klay yes, Draymond maybe, Steph no.
It’s taken a while for Klay Thompson to get there … his final year with the Warriors was awkward, as was his first with the Mavericks. But last year he started to embrace a smaller role. He started just eight games, and played fewer than 22 minutes per night. His performance, admittedly, was quite poor, but his attitude wasn’t. Klay is the epitome of a basketball lover: every chance he gets, he gushes about how much he loves basketball. It’s all he wants to do.
There’s a stark contrast there between he and the other two. Green and Curry have wives, kids, and countless ventures outside of basketball. Klay? He’s basketball first, second, and, now that Rocco is sadly no longer with us, third. There aren’t many players in sports who have made the type of money and amassed the type of accolades that these three have, who still want to squeeze every last drop of basketball out of their life that they can … but I suspect Klay is one of them. He’s the guy who’s still going to be playing pickup at 60. If there’s a ball and a court, he’s lacing up his Antas and hooping … and if someone’s willing to pay him some money to do it, all the better.
Green is a maybe because he’s already trending towards that role. During the brief period where it looked like Kuminga was breaking out, Draymond embraced a bench role. A dip in minutes is not going to come without a few fights with Steve Kerr, but Green is pretty aware of his limitations. I don’t think he’s going to hold on for as long as he can, but he’s enough of a team player to take a smaller role if it means getting to keep competing, especially with Curry.
As for Steph? I just don’t see it. He’s climbed too high on the mountain to have any interest in the view from basecamp. It’s not easy to go from being arguably the best player in the league, and a top-10 all-time player, to someone who comes off the bench for 15-20 minutes. Even if the ego can handle it, the competitive juices often can’t.
And even setting that aside, Curry is a family man with numerous business ventures, more money than anyone will ever know what to do with, philanthropic foundations, and a potential career in golf awaiting him. He’s not gonna waste any years trying to hang on to a career that’s slipping away.
Hamster Ball:
1) There is a contingent of people who want to start the rebuild now vs just running it back each year. I don’t see Lacob trading Steph, unless Steph requests it. So, for fun, let’s say next year Steph signs for 4 million a year, just like LeBron did this year. What moves could the Warriors then do to make it a contending team?2) Warrior fans are really spoiled. Most years, there is some sort of hope that the Dubs can do a deep run in the playoffs. However, this season, it is harder to come up with a reason to believe. The Dubs only won 37 games in a season where many teams were tanking and are running it back with an old squad. Give us a reason to believe in this team next year.
That first hypothetical is fun! The Warriors would have basically no money on the books … Butler and Green will also have reached free agency, while Porziņģis’ deal is only partially guaranteed for $3 million. Golden State’s books will basically be Moses Moody ($13.4 million), Yaxel Lendeborg ($6.4 million) and whatever Podziemski potentially signs for (if he does). So basically, in this hypothetical, the Warriors can throw a bag at absolutely anybody.
Which brings us to the critical part: who is available? Giannis Antetokounmpo and Nikola Jokić can both opt out of the final years of their deals, but, even if they do, it will likely be to sign an extension with their current teams. Those two would be the surefire ways to contention, but it seems deeply unlikely that they would sign with Golden State. Could they sign two players from the next bucket, which includes Kawhi Leonard, Kevin Durant, Anthony Davis, Paul George, and Karl-Anthony Towns (all but Leonard also have player options they’d have to opt out of)?
Probably the best way to get something done would be to have a poor season, get a decent draft pick, and trade a haul of picks + Podziemski for a star, and then sign one other high-caliber player. A lot easier said than done.
As for a reason to believe in the team next year, well … the biggest reason for belief is to look at how good they were at the end of the 2024-25 season. From the time that Butler debuted on February 8, 2025, until the end of the regular season, the Warriors were third in the NBA in both record (23-8) and garbage time adjusted net rating (+9.5), per Cleaning The Glass. They were second in the West in both cases, behind only the eventual champion Oklahoma City Thunder. They beat the No. 2 seeded Rockets in the postseason and, had Curry not suffered an injury, likely would have made the Western Conference Finals.
That core is still here, and now they’ve added Porziņģis, with hopes that Lendeborg can be a difference-maker. The cold water, of course, is that Curry, Green, and Butler are all two years older, and Butler is no guarantee to be the same player post-ACL tear. But on paper, this team is more talented than one that spent two months being one of the three-best teams in the NBA. It will take a lot of things going right for that to materialize, but there’s something in there worth dreaming on.
FringyLooneyTic:
With his “runner’s knees,” do you think it is likely that Curry will make it to the playoffs this year? ALSO: Has everybody forgotten that Draymond Green suffered a lower back injury during the 2021-22 NBA season involving a herniated disc at his L5-S1 vertebrae levels, which irritated his sciatic nerve and caused severe calf weakness and leg pain? It seems quite likely that all this speculation about team-building is for naught, with players who are likely to NOT be available for a full season load.
Well, I don’t think you’re breaking any news here, FringyLooneyTic. Even if people have forgotten the specificity of Green’s injury during the championship run, no one is laboring under the disillusion that Green, Curry, Butler, Porziņģis, or Al Horford are young players with sterling health histories. The Warriors will almost surely have multiple players miss significant time this year. How much time — and which players — will answer your question about returning to the playoffs.
oaklandwarrior1:
What’s going on with Demar Derozan? Was he never a target for the Warriors even after the Lebron strike out? Is he too expensive? He seems to be just what we need – a secondary scoring threat.
DeMar DeRozan would definitely be a huge addition for the Warriors. He’s not exactly the prototypical Kerr-ball player — he scores mostly in isolation, isn’t a good three-point shooter, and isn’t much on the defensive side of the ball — but the Dubs are desperate for scoring, especially while Butler is sidelined.
That said, these things usually work very slowly. DeRozan is in no rush, because finances aren’t really an issue here. When players are bought out, they sign for either the minimum or whatever the amount they forfeited in the buyout is, which is always a small amount. Unlike other free agents, DeRozan isn’t trying to create a bidding war or needing to pounce on a team that has cap space. He can basically pick from any team that wants his services.
Which means the Warriors have to convince him to join them, which I’d guess they’ve started the groundwork for. But so often, these types of players wait until deep in the offseason, just in case something changes. If DeRozan has a team he’d like to play for but they don’t need him, it would behoove him to wait a month or so, in case that team has a player suffer a serious injury. I would guess that DeRozan is chasing an opportunity to compete for a championship, and thus will look at other teams before turning to the Dubs.
Cosmo4gsw:
How would you define a successful season for the Warriors?
I just want everyone to get along and have a good time. That seems successful enough to me.
Jokes aside, I think two things need to happen for the season to be successful: they need to be reasonably competitive, and they need to show signs that point to being even more competitive in 2027-28 when, critically, Curry, Green, and Butler will all be a year older … and, as things currently stand, headed for free agency.
On the competitive front, that means making the playoffs and having a competitive showing. I don’t think going 40-42, winning in the play-in tournament, and getting swept in the first round is a successful season. Being the fifth or sixth seed and having a competitive first-round series? Now we’re at least getting somewhere.
On the looking-forward front, that can occur in a few ways. The most straightforward path to envision is that Lendeborg looks like a slam dunk pick. Remember, once upon a time Klay Thompson and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander were No. 11 picks, too. The Warriors are expecting Lendeborg to be a quality role player, but if he’s a whole lot more? Well, that’s setting the table for future years.
It also could come from Podziemski taking a big step forward, or the team acquiring a star at the deadline. But those are the keys to success: put up a good fight this year, while leaving no doubt that next year will be even better.
Thanks for the really great questions, everyone!
