Now that we know the 2026 Buffalo Bills schedule, it’s time for me to provide you my initial thoughts when I saw this graphic on the team’s social media accounts on Thursday night.
Below you’ll find 10 of those thoughts, listed in no particular order of importance.
– You could have placed the Bills’ opponents in literally any way imaginable, and it would have been a difficult schedule… because they have a difficult set of opponents this season. I can’t subscribe to the idea that the order in which
they’ll play the games makes it any more difficult, especially given they don’t face a team coming off a mini bye or regular bye week. And we already knew nine road games vs. eight home games was built in to the 2026 season for the Bills. How could I have told you Buffalo’s schedule was going to be difficult regardless of game order? Check the quarterbacks they’re set to match up against in 2026.
– The game against the Rams, the contest I’m most looking forward to for a litany of reasons, being in mid-October is fantastic, for the simple assumption that both teams are less likely to be banged up than if this game was “saved” by the schedule makers for late in the season. I want to see as many genuine on-field components of these two heavyweights in this game, and placing it in the marquee spot (for pre-game buildup) is fantastic.
– That Week 6 game against the Raiders — will the Bills be getting Kirk Cousins or Fernando Mendoza as the Las Vegas quarterback? When teams do actually keep their first-round quarterback shelved early, they typically like a relatively easier “test run” for the NFL debut. We’ll see how stingy the Bills defense is this season, but as of today, I can’t imagine Klint Kubiak and Co. would circle this outing against Buffalo to do so. Then again, I think Mendoza will be starting before Week 6 anyway.
– Similar to what Corey outlined earlier today, a Week 1 tilt against the Texans is probably the best-case scenario for Buffalo. Mostly for health purposes. Sure, the Bills faced backup quarterback Davis Mills a season ago because C.J. Stroud was dinged… and still lost. But having concussed and one-armed offensive tackles against Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter is a recipe for disaster, as the Bills learned in 2025.
– I’m more captivated by the Week 9 Monday Night Football clash with the Vikings than I normally would be for a once-every-eight-years road NFC matchup. Of course, the last time Allen played in that shiny stadium in Minnesota, he jumped over Anthony Barr and the Bills won a game in which they entered as 17-point underdogs. I have a sneaking suspicion it’ll be a serious litmus test for Buffalo on both sides of the ball because I’m a believer in Kyler Murray resurrecting his career in 2026 throwing to Justin Jefferson in a Kevin O’Connell offense. Plus, that stadium is loud, and Brian Flores is a blitzing madman. This will be a nice mid-season playoff tune-up.
– I don’t love the Week 7 bye. In 2022, I did some quick research on the bye weeks of eventual Super Bowl winners in recent history. From 2013 to 2021, only one eventual Super Bowl winner had a bye week before Week 9… so late bye weeks seemed to be providing some type of advantage for those clubs. Since then, the trend has somewhat vanished. The 2022 Chiefs had a Week 8 bye. The following year’s Chiefs had a Week 10 bye. The 2024 Eagles bye was in Week 5, and last year’s Seahawks got their bye in Week 8. Overall, I do think getting extra time to ice up closer to the playoffs is probably better, which is why I don’t love Buffalo’s Week 7 bye, yet I can’t call it catastrophically early.
– Three September games are marvelous. I’m an avid cold plunger. Have grown to love the cold. Adore it. Despite that, I’ll take games in the 60-80 degree range over windy contests played close to or below freezing in the sleet or snow every single time. I also like a challenge — and those three consecutive home games against the Lions, Chargers, and Patriots early in the season will present exactly that for the Bills.
– If you look at this schedule, and think, “man, I can see 9 or 10 losses here,” I won’t call you crazy. I promise. The slate is arduous. It is important to remember that there’s always plenty of year-to-year changeover in the NFL, typically beyond the teams with established, elite-level quarterbacks. Which is, frankly, why I don’t ever get too high or low regarding the schedule in May.
– Of course, four of the final six on the road isn’t ideal. There’s no way around it. At Patriots, Packers, and Broncos over a four-week stretch will be no easy task. It’s not super dissimilar to last season, really. Buffalo played four of its final seven on the road. Of course, we’ll all be paying close attention to how Joe Brady’s team performs late in the season after dominance in December and early January was the norm under Sean McDermott and with momentum entering the playoffs always being front of mind.
– Having two clubs in the division in early stages of the rebuilding process — Jets and especially Dolphins — will likely prove to be very beneficial for the Bills. It’s easy to forget… Buffalo lost 30-13 in Miami last year. Of course there’s really no such thing as an “easy” win in the NFL, yet Miami’s roster is not ready to compete in 2026, and while the Jets have had a splashy offseason for a rebuilding club, their quarterback solution right now is Geno Smith, and many of their exciting pieces are young. The Bills went 5-1 in the AFC East in 2021 and 2024, and doing so again feels feasible in 2026.
