Germany dominated possession and controlled the tempo in Friday’s 3-1 win over Serbia, finishing the match win a two-man advantage. The win cemented Germany’s spot in EURO 2028 qualifying while also putting them in the proper position to advance to the knockout round in the UEFA Nations League. Here are the scenarios for Germany to advance to the knockout round:
- Greece loses AND Germany draws/wins
- Greece draws AND Germany wins
- Greece wins AND
- Germany wins by 4+ goals, OR
- Germany wins but stays ahead of Greece on goal differential (currently an 8-goal spread)
Xavi Hernández’s unit also took care of business on Friday, obliterating Greece 7-0. The Dutch would need to lose badly to Germany to miss
out on the knockout stage. It is more likely that the Netherlands will play a conservative match that preserves their pole position in the group with a win, draw, or narrow loss.
Match Info
Location: Olympiastadion, Berlin, Germany
Date: Monday, November 16th, 2026
Time: 8:45pm local time (2:45pm EDT)
TV/streaming: Fox Sports One, Amazon, ViX, Find Your Country
Odds: Germany (-118), Draw (+300), Netherlands (+280)
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Team Info
Here is the predicted lineup, courtesy of BFW:
Prediction
Germany wins 2-1. In the September edition, Germany was the better team but conceded a stoppage time goal to Cody Gakpo. Xavi Hernández will be playing for first place, rather than a win. The game will be scoreless at halftime until the teams quickly swap goals. Niclas Füllkrug will be the hero in the 83rd minute, cleaning up a sloppy defensive clearance with a toe poke.
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