Well, apparently the numbers 4 and 6 like me this season, and unfortunately the 4 has been in the win column. Another 4-6 mark puts me at 17-23 for the year through 4 weeks. Not good enough. Got to do
better. No time like the present, so let’s get after it here. As usual, I’m using the lines as of Friday over at the FanDuel Sportsbook.
(Disclaimer: these are just my opinions. Please do your own analysis and pick accordingly. I am not telling you what to do with your money. Be responsible. Have a gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&C apply; lines subject to change.)
And now, on with this week’s picks…
FLORIDA STATE -6.5 at Virginia
Is FSU really a top 10 team? This is a spot where they should break out and have a big game. Trap game, first road game, whatever. If FSU is as talented as they’ve LOOKED through three games, then I’m buying them here at a reasonable price.
TCU +2.5 at Arizona State
The Frogs have played very good football this year, and Josh Hoover has been as good as advertised, completing over 68% of his passes for 11 TDs and 2 INTs. Sam Leavitt isn’t too shabby himself, but I like TCU here with the points on the road.
NOTRE DAME -4.5 at Arkansas
The Hogs took a massive punch to the gut last week at Memphis, fumbling in field goal range to lose by 1. Can they get back on the horse for one of their biggest games of the year? I think the Irish prevail thanks to a dominating ground attack.
Utah State at VANDERBILT -22.5
Man, Vandy is playing some really good football lately, and they’re winning and covering. I will finally listen to what they’re trying to tell me each week.
Ohio State at WASHINGTON +8.5
I don’t know if Washington pulls this off, but this has the feel of a close game that tells us a lot about who Ohio State really in in 2025. I like my chances of that many points in one of the loudest places in college football.
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State; OVER 62.5
I’m not sure if Tennessee cover the 7.5, but I feel very confident that this game gets to 63 points. Both teams can score, and that happens in oodles in Starkville.
OREGON +3.5 at Penn State
I’m not sold on Penn State this year, at least from what I’ve seen against very poor competition. Oregon, to the eye, has looked better. I’ll take the Ducks and the points here.
LSU at OLE MISS -1.5
I’ve flip flopped on this game, but man, Ole Miss has looked the part of a very good team lately, as evidenced by their thrashing of Tulane last week. Trinidad Chambliss has been the real deal and should challenge what’s been a very good LSU defense through 4 weeks.
BYU -6.5 at Colorado
The Cougars went to East Carolina and rolled last week. I think they’ll take care of business in Boulder on Saturday night against a Colorado team that – understandably, without Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter – looks very little like the 2024 version,
Alabama at Georgia; OVER 53.5
Tennessee put up a big number on Georgia’s defense, and Alabama is playing well right now. But I think this will be a close game in Athens, so instead of a 2.5-point line, I’ll go with points here.
