The New York Yankees currently sit among the best teams in the American League and Major League Baseball. However, they aren’t perfect, and, most importantly, they’re not without their own health issues. While Cody Bellinger, Ben Rice, and Cam Schlittler represent the team in Philadelphia at the All-Star festivities (plus Aaron Judge in absentia), the Bombers’ management and coaching staff are preparing for the August 3rd Trade Deadline.
And while injuries won’t last forever, the Yankees are still
clearly looking for ways to improve their team. There are some options that are more realistic than others, but some can hope for even more additions to an All-Star rotation — such as the biggest potential catch on the market, lefty ace Tarik Skubal of the Detroit Tigers.
2026 Statistics (Thus Far): 13 GS, 75.2 IP, 5-5, 3.09 ERA (139 ERA+), 3.06 FIP, 2.54 xFIP, 30% K%, 3.7% BB%, 0.95 WHIP, 1.8 fWAR
2026 ZiPS Rest-of-Season Statistics: 11 GS, 68.0 IP, 5-2, 2.75 ERA, 2.55 FIP, 31.1% K%, 4.4% BB%, 2.2 fWAR
If the Yankees were to acquire the two-time defending Cy Young Award winner Skubal, it would be a trade to rock the baseball world. For the Tigers, who are 3.5 games outside of a Wild Card spot in the AL standings with a 44-52 record (trailing every team in the league, save for the lousy A’s, Royals, and Angels) and only have Skubal locked up for the rest of the season, it may be the perfect opportunity to garner value from him if they know he’s not going to re-sign. Reports have surfaced that Skubal wants to stay in Detroit, but if the Tigers aren’t going to pay him the kind of money he’s looking for, this is the only chance to get something more from him in free agency than qualifying offer compensation, pending the new CBA. And if you’re the Yankees, it obviously doesn’t hurt to keep building on top of an already-solid rotation as they continue to search for their first World Series since 2009.
There isn’t much to say about Skubal that hasn’t already been said countless times. For a pitcher of his caliber, the trade target profile is almost academic. If you’re even a casual baseball fan, you know this man.
Skubal is one of, if not the best, pitchers in all of MLB. His last two seasons have finished with two All-Star appearances, ERA titles, Cy Youngs, top-seven finishes in the AL MVP voting, and one pitching Triple Crown win. He’s a commodity that just about every team would want, especially long-term, even though he is 29 years old and will be turning 30 a month after the 2026 season ends.
The lefty has plenty of different weapons in his arsenal. Skubal has a five-pitch mix that features a four-seam fastball (37.7%), a changeup (24.9%), a sinker (19%), a slider (14.4%), and a curveball (4%). And while he does have the capability for excellent strikeout power, it has been few and far between this season due to other factors that have made his overall ERA shoot up from an absurd 2.39 and 2.21 in 2024 and 2025 to a still-excellent 3.09.
The biggest problem for Skubal this year has been a multitude of factors, but the long ball has particularly plagued him. Since the 2021 season (when he was 24), he hasn’t given up over 0.85 home runs per nine innings; that is, until this season. Now, he sports an HR/9 of 1.19, the second-highest of his career among qualified seasons. He also has lost some velocity on his fastball, but that could also be due to other factors, including the effects of the innovative surgery he had following the finding of loose bodies—or body—in his throwing elbow. Skubal was on the injured list for around a month before throwing in a rehab game and eventually returning to a major league mound.
Regardless of whether or not Skubal can immediately find his exact ideal strikeout form, he’s still elite in that area of the game. His 94th-percentile strikeout rate according to Baseball Savant speaks for itself, and so does the tape.
The Yankees’ rotation, when healthy, is full of fantastic arms that could match up well with every other rotation in MLB. Schlittler, Gerrit Cole, Max Fried, Carlos Rodón, Ryan Weathers, and Will Warren comprise as good a top six as one might find around the game. However, the “when healthy” aspect is the key here. The best four-man version of this rotation for October plainly does not include Weathers or Warren, and the leading quartet includes a soon-to-be 36-year-old coming off Tommy John surgery (Cole), two lefties who have battled elbow injuries already this year (Fried and Rodón), and a second-year pitcher who while dominant is on pace to easily blow past his career-high in innings while regularly throwing in the high-90s (Schlittler).
There is risk here for a win-now team that is still trying to capitalize on their captain’s prime. Skubal does, of course, carry his own questions from the recent procedure, but he wouldn’t be signed past the end of the season anyway and he would also push essentially everyone down a peg on the depth chart. This isn’t some mid-rotation guy you’re adding to your rotation; it’s Tarik Skubal. It’s almost a disservice to call him rotation insurance. This is a home run swing for one of the league’s elite arms, not to meniton one with a career postseason ERA of 2.04 in 39.2 innings across six starts — fanning 13 in his most recent effort.
Naturally, the Tigers would still command a high asking price from the Yankees. They would be losing their ace and all but officially throwing in the towel on the 2026 season. The trade needs to be a worthwhile investment for them, not just a “he won’t re-sign, or we can’t give him the money he wants, let’s make sure we get any type of return we can” desperation move. Detroit would certainly drive a high bargain, which the Yankees could meet. However, on the Yankees’ side of things, is it worth the risk of Skubal not re-signing to add another ace in the hopes of winning just one World Series?
For some, that answer is yes, particularly given the potentially closing window of Judge’s prime. The Yankees have good prospects who it would be hard to part with, but they’ve had good prospects in the past too, and holding onto them for too long has hurt in the long run. Going back a generation, the hesitance to meet the Mariners’ price at the 2010 Trade Deadline cost them a chance to get a comparable southpaw ace to Skubal in Cliff Lee, who went on to help the Rangers eliminate them that October. There is always a chance to be burned by giving up a great young player, but if you’re not willing to roll the dice to get a guy like Skubal, then who are you doing it for? And regarding Judge, if you’re not going all-in for No. 28 now, then when are you?
Others may take a more cautious approach, or prefer the Yankees cash in their prospects in deals for greater areas of need in a timelier manner. Worse rotations than even the Yankees’ current front four have won championships, it’s true. It’s all a tricky balance to strike for general manager Brian Cashman, and it is of course always worth mentioning that it takes two to tango. Cashman could give the Tigers a sweetheart offer for Skubal, but he can’t make them accept it. Every organization has their own way of evaluating prospects with slightly different particulars and preferences; if Detroit is OK with moving him but likes another package more, then that’s unfortunately just the business.
Whether or not the Tigers will move Skubal could very well come down to the wire in those opening day of August before the deadline. It would behoove the Yankees to remain in the conversation for as long as they possibly can.
