Another week – another fourth quarter comeback and game-winning drive for Bo Nix. He now has 13 and 16 respectively in 43 games started. That’s one 4QC every 3.3 GS and one game-winning drive every 2.7 GS.
If you do the rate stats per game started most of the top 10 are names that most NFL fans have forgotten, and this is because QBs with long career generally don’t spend much time playing for a team with a combination of offensive and defensive proficiency/deficiency
that leads to many opportunities for them. They are either playing in wins where they get the lead and keep it, or games when they are getting blown out most of the time. Close games were rare (at least until this year). Even some of the greats didn’t have this much opportunity at roughly the same points in their careers.
There were 154 one score games in the 2025 regular season. In the 2006 season there were 132. In the 1996 season there were only 117. We are half-way through the 2026 NFL regular season and there have already been 77 one-score games so they are occurring at the exact same rate as last season. The league loves parity (not to be confused with parody) and that is what they are getting with all of these close games.
The Broncos appear to not be making any moves at running back so let’s talk about the Bronco run game so far. The Broncos are 21st in rushing success rate at 45.8. That is slightly below average. A successful run gains 40 percent of the needed yards on first down, 60 percent on second down, and converts on third or fourth down.
Looking at yards before contact per attempt is one way to see how well the OL of a given team is blocking. Right now RJ Harvey and Jonah Coleman are doing significantly better than JK Dobbins running behind the same offensive line. Coleman is getting 2.6 and Harvey is getting 2.4 while Dobbins is getting 1.7.
Now, I’m sure some of you will think back to how badly Ben Powers and Mike McGlinchey looked run blocking last game and say “It’s the OL not the RB.” But you would be wrong. Those are a few instances and in general the OL has been doing fairly well at run blocking this season. JK Dobbins has just lost a step relative to last season. Coleman and Harvey have also had much better success rates so far this year on runs than Dobbins.
The Bronco defense allowed a conversion on 4th and 18 last game on a play that would have effectively ended the game if the the defense could have stopped the conversion. So far this season the Broncos have been terrible at stopping teams on 3rd (or 4th) and long. They have allowed conversion on 20 of 63 plays.
The Bears have been the best so far and the Ravens have been the worst.
