The time has come. The 2025 season is upon us. We are past the time of watch lists and preseason awards and have entered the time of bowl projections. Our team at Mountain West Connection will be releasing
our bowl projections each week. This week’s round of projections can be seen below and will likely change as the season progresses. Read our projections below and leave your own in the comments.
Mike
Los Angeles Bowl: UNLV
Hawaii Bowl: Hawaii
Potato Bowl: Utah State
New Mexico Bowl: Fresno State
Arizona Bowl: New Mexico
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Boise State
College Football Playoff: N/A
Other Bowl (TBD): N/A
I flipped the Aggies and Bulldogs, but that’s the only change for me this week. It looks like the teams able to make a bowl game are emerging after four weeks. All have their flaws, but have more strangths or less questions than the other teams. UNLV is on shaky ground at the top but keep finding ways to win. The same goes for the Aggies, Bulldogs, and Broncos, to this point anyway. Hawaii needs a get-right game, but should be okay by the end of the year.
Zach
Los Angeles Bowl: UNLV
Hawaii Bowl: Hawaii
Potato Bowl: Utah State
New Mexico Bowl: New Mexico
Arizona Bowl: Fresno State
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Boise State
College Football Playoff: N/A
Other Bowl (TBD): N/A
Nothing changes from last week. I’m not sold on UNLV winning the conference, but they deserve the top spot until they drop a game. Hawaii is hanging on to a bowl spot, but will likely fall out with a loss to Air Force this week. The race to the conference championship continues to be wide open.
Jeff
Los Angeles Bowl: UNLV
Hawaii Bowl: San Jose State
Potato Bowl: Utah State
New Mexico Bowl: New Mexico
Arizona Bowl: Fresno State
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Boise State
College Football Playoff: N/A
Other Bowl (TBD): N/A
Just a few conference games so far, but Boise, Fresno, and Utah State have jumped out to a quick lead. New Mexico is intriguing and SJSU looks like they may have found their rhythm.
Chase
Los Angeles Bowl: UNLV
Hawaii Bowl: Hawaii
Potato Bowl: Boise State
New Mexico Bowl: New Mexico
Arizona Bowl: Fresno State
Guaranteed Rate Bowl: Utah State
College Football Playoff: N/A
Other Bowl (TBD): N/A
Other Bowl (TBD): N/A
Nevada and Wyoming are the only teams where I see zero chance of them making a bowl game. I would eliminate Colorado State as well, but Jackson Brousseau looks promising. It seems my skepticism about Fresno State was unwarranted, as they look to have fully rebounded from their season-opening loss to Kansas. Utah State likewise appears to have a deadly offense on their hands, which should continue to assist them through conference play after they travel to play Vanderbilt.
