Will Warren versus Ranger Suárez represents the perfect pitching matchup to highlight the difference between these two teams in the success of developing starting pitchers in-house. While the Red Sox felt compelled to go outside the organization and spend big on a mid-level starter—in other words, someone who wasn’t necessarily signed to anchor the rotation—the Yankees filled out their staff with the likes of Warren and are way better off for it.
The pitcher with the best winning percentage in the AL
this season, entering this game with seven wins and just one loss, Warren has benefited from outstanding run support, such as the 13 runs the Yankees scored at the A’s in his last start. Accustomed to pitching on the road as of late, this will only be Warren’s second start at home in the last 30 days. Normally that wouldn’t warrant mention, but the splits in 2026 are stark enough for Warren that it is worthwhile bringing it up. Warren enters this game with a 3.96 ERA in 36.1 innings at home, nearly two runs higher than the 2.25 mark he has on five starts away from Yankee Stadium. This difference hasn’t affected Warren’s record (4-1 at Yankee Stadium), but that has more to do with the level of support from the offense than anything else.
The emphasis on run support for Warren is even more pertinent when you consider that the Yankees will be facing a left-hander without their two lefty mashers, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. Stanton’s been out for quite some time, but Judge’s recent injury dramatically affects this offense in a way that can’t possibly be overstated. The production Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger have brought to the table against southpaws increases its importance tenfold with the lineup’s current construction.
The positive side about this specific matchup is that Suárez has reverse splits, allowing way more damage against left-handed hitters. While righties have an OPS below .600 against the Red Sox starter, lefties are up to a .770 mark. These splits show up in the track record against individual hitters. Back from their NL East days, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a .300 batting average in 20 at-bats against Suárez. Ryan McMahon also has terrific numbers in a sizeable sample size against the Red Sox starter, but one couldn’t pass up Amed Rosario and his two homers in nine at-bats against the southpaw.
How to watch
Location: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, NY
First pitch: 7:35 pm ET
TV broadcast: FOX
Radio broadcast: WFAN 660/101.9 FM, WADO 1280, WEEI 93.7 FM, WCCM 1490 AM (SP), WESX 1230 AM (SP)
Online stream: MLB.tv
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