What is the story about?
The disastrous game Ole Miss had against Georgia was almost as bad as our picks last week.
Going 1-3 is never a good thing but especially at the sportsbook. If you’ve been following our locks, you should still be up, however, as our season record sits at 22-17. Our win percentage is sitting just above 56 percent, so we’re looking more like an MLB team than a successful prediction machine.
But this is college football, and this season has been full of chaos already. Time to lean into it and make four
more lock picks for the week.
CFB Locks Week 11
- Florida State at Pitt (-3.5) – FSU stopped the bleeding and won last week against Boston College on the road, but two weeks in a row out of sunny Florida against a Pitt defense that is pretty salty? It’s not going to happen for the Noles as the Panthers win by a touchdown or more on Friday night.
- Tulane (+2.5) at Rice – This game is basically a pick ‘em at -2.5 for Rice who is at home. Maybe there’s something I don’t know about this game, because the Owls haven’t won since their season opener and shown no signs of life. The Green Wave meanwhile need this one to keep bowl eligibility alive. Tulane wins one on the road. I think the line is an overreaction to the terrible game TU played against Tulsa.
- Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech (-17.5) – USM is not a good team this year as it is rebuilding from the quick exit of Charles Huff to Memphis. The Golden Eagles were blasted last week by a physical James Madison team and now have to hit the road to play the Bulldogs. LT is on a six game win streak and is undefeated in the conference for a reason.
- No. 19 Ole Miss (+1.5) at Oklahoma – In both of Ole Miss’ previous losses this season, it had a huge bounce back in the following week with a 35-point win on the road against Vandy and a 30-point win over Auburn at home. I don’t expect that kind of blowout performance, but this team knows it has to win this game to avoid being named one of the more overhyped Rebel squads in the modern era. Both teams are banged up, but Oklahoma is getting healthier and playing better. If Pete can’t pull this one off, the noise around the program is going to get very loud quickly.
