Around this time every year, prospect hounds across the country release all their lists, from team Top 10 lists, Top 100’s, and farm system rankings. The last few years, the Yankees haven’t looked so hot
on those farm system ranks. This year, ESPN had them 23rd, and Baseball Prospectus put them at 22nd. It was a similar story last year, when ESPN pegged the Yankees 21st, while BP had them in 25th.
Those placements compare poorly to those of the Yankees’ direct rivals. The Rays perennially have one of the best farm systems in the sport, and perhaps most concerningly, the Red Sox and Blue Jays, probably the two biggest threats to the Yankees in the AL East, still sport above average farms per most sources despite pushing a lot of chips into the middle in the past year.
Is the Yankees’ lagging farm a serious issue? In theory, it seems like it could be a major long-term problem. At the major-league level, not much separates the Yankees from Boston and Toronto; the recently released PECOTA projections have New York as AL East favorites, but barely over the rival Red Sox and Jays, and with only roughly a 40-percent chance of winning the division. If the Yankees have only a narrow edge in the bigs right now (or arguably a non-existent edge, given they did just lose the division in 2025, albeit via tiebreaker), then it stands to reason that their rivals equipped with deeper farms could ease by them in the near future.
On the other hand, the Yankees’ farm system has generally ranked poorly in recent years, but has still managed to produce both major-league contributors and prospects that Brian Cashman has traded for productive veterans. Even as the system lagged heading into 2025, Cashman turned a host of prospects into David Bednar, Camilo Doval, Ryan McMahon, Amed Rosario, and more at the deadline. Plus, most prospect lists didn’t have the likes of Ben Rice or Cam Schlittler very high a year ago, yet those two look like they could be stars at the major-league level as soon as this season.
So which is it? Will the Yankees continue to squeeze big-league talent and impact trades from their farm system, in spite of meager farm system rankings? Or will it eventually catch up to them?
Today on the site, Matt goes back to the 1940’s to tell us about a strange game in Yankees history, where a player allowed one hit and zero earned runs but still lost handily. Also, Maximo writes that there shouldn’t be any Max Fried Postseason Narrative, and Nick gives us the next entry in our Yankee Birthday series, celebrating former reliever Damaso Marte.
