Monday afternoon, Baseball America published their Mock Draft 3.0, featuring the latest intel and scouting reports for each team. The Tigers, who will pick 22nd this year, were linked to high school outfielder Trevor Condon in the first round. Condon hails from the state of Georgia and is a well known player in this high school class among draft analysts.
With three drafts under their belt, Scott Harris and his scouting team have developed something of a reputation for falling in love with athletic,
up the middle defenders with strong contact skills, and high school pitchers with promising traits and plenty of projection. The selection of Condon would fit right into that mold. A center fielder with plus speed and a portfolio of well-balanced skills, he’s a name that I’ve had speculatively circled for about a month now.
Condon is on the small side — he measures at just 5-foot-9, 175 pounds and doesn’t have a ton of present power as a result — and evaluators note that he has something of an unorthodox swing. Despite that, Baseball America calls him “one of the most popular” players in the second tier of high school draft prospects thanks to a strong spring showing and good track record. It’s difficult to read too much into high school stats, but he’s been racking up extra base hits like it’s going out of style. More importantly, he makes consistent left-handed contact and shoots the ball to all fields, tempting scouts to dream of a future leadoff type hitter.
Contributing to the rise in his draft stock is the physicality he’s begun to demonstrate over the past six months. According to a December article from Prep Baseball Report, his arm strength is already above average, as he’s been clocked at 95 mph from the outfield. He’s also upped his max recorded exit velocity from sub-100 mph to 106.2. That’s pretty good from a teenager who wasn’t viewed as much a future power hitter until recently.
The Tigers evidently have quite a bit of faith in their ability to help underpowered players get the best of their physicality and tap into unforeseen power projections. They gambled big on Jordan Yost last year and have already been rewarded this year with tangible power gains. They picked up local product Zach MacDonald in the 15th round, and while he has significant flaws, we have seen him quickly blossom into a slugging center fielder. And lest we forget, none of the public-facing prospect outlets saw Kevin McGonigle as a power hitter on draft day 2023, but he graduated with plus grades on his power to go with his elite hit tool.
The Baseball America blurb concluded by saying that their sources have linked Detroit to an abundance of high school hitters. This shouldn’t come as a surprise based on their preferences over the last few years, and, if true, could help us get a read on who they may be interested in taking with their first pick. There aren’t a ton of high school hitters in the range where Detroit’s pick lays, so we can zoom in on Condon as a probable option.
Other potential selections include a pair of shortstops in Tyler Spangler, a big bodied player with a decent bat, and Aiden Ruiz, whose slick fielding is offset by questions about his offense. Two-way player Jared Gridlinger is ranked more lowly by MLB Pipeline, but is reported to be popular among MLB teams for his excellent traits and projectable pitch mix. Outfielder Blake Bowen seems less likely, as he doesn’t fit the sweet-swinging mold that the Tigers seem to prefer, but he has every physical tool in spades and will almost certainly entice some team to draft him highly if he can be bought out of his commitment to Oregon State.
