Congratulations to all of Birdland. Opening Day is just two days away. We made it to the start of 2026.
As our Tyler Young outlined yesterday, the Orioles’ time in Sarasota gave us plenty of clarity about some things. And yet, there are plenty of aspects of this Orioles roster that we want to see put to the test in the games that actually matter.
The Orioles are one of the most changed teams in the American League as they look to bounce back from the profound disappointment of the 2025 season. In comes
new manager Craig Albernaz, new star 1B Pete Alonso and other big veteran additions in Taylor Ward, Shane Baz, Chris Bassitt and Ryan Helsley.
The first month of the 2026 season will give us the first glimpses as to whether this team is ready to return to contention or if this roster’s holes will again prove insurmountable. And yet, the beginning of a new season is supposed to offer hope and a chance to learn about the newest iteration of the O’s. With that in mind, here are four things to look forward to in the upcoming first month of Baltimore baseball.
1. A hot start from the Orioles
The Orioles want a chance to prove that the disastrous start to the 2025 season was a complete anomaly. The schedule makers gave them the opportunity to do just that with a favorable opening slate of games across March and April.
The first series of the season sees the Orioles welcome the Twins to Camden Yards, as the two biggest sellers at the 2025 trade deadline square off in Baltimore. Minnesota is entering the early stages of a rebuild, and FanGraphs projects the Twins to finish fourth in the AL Central with a 23.8% chance of making the playoffs. In terms of easy opening series, only a few teams present less of a threat than the Twins.
Things don’t get all that much tougher across the rest of the Orioles’ first 1o series of the year. FanGraphs gives the O’s a 52.1% chance to make the postseason. Of their first ten opponents, only the Red Sox (60%) head into the new season with better odds to play October baseball. Next highest is the Pirates at 47.3%, though the schedule lines up such that the Orioles shouldn’t have to face reigning NL Cy Young winner Paul Skenes.
Most of the Orioles’ early opponents fall in the category of “fighting to get above .500,” as the O’s will welcome the Rangers, Giants, Astros and Diamondbacks to Baltimore while traveling to face the Guardians and Royals. The Orioles also get an early trip to the South Side of Chicago to take on a White Sox team most assume to be the worst in the AL.
A winning record in April won’t guarantee a winning season, but a slow start can doom a team—as we saw last season. In the Orioles’ two most recent playoff seasons, they combined to go 38-19 (.667). Last year, the O’s opened the season 12-18 on their way to a losing record. This year, Baltimore should get back to winning ways early thanks to a favorable schedule.
2. The new look rotation in action
The Orioles may not have added an ace in the offseason, but there’s little doubt that this rotation is significantly better than what they had last season. After all, Zach Eflin was the Opening Day starter last year; this year, he’s the O’s No. 5 starter.
This Orioles rotation has been hailed as the best ever assembled under Mike Elias. However, this group still has something to prove. Trevor Rogers will look to prove that he can sustain his excellent 2025 performance over a whole season. Kyle Bradish will want to show that he’s fully back to his 2023 form after returning from Tommy John surgery with a strong, six-start cameo last year. Shane Baz and Chris Bassitt will look to prove they were the right depth additions to round out the rotation.
This group should be day and night compared to the Charlie Morton, Tomoyuki Sugano days of yesteryear. The favorable early schedule should give this rotation the stage to show how far this pitching staff has come in the span of a year.
3. How Alby manages the 1B, DH and C at-bats
The signing of Alonso and the long-term financial commitment to Samuel Basallo created a potential logjam at 1B and C. Albernaz now has the pleasure of trying to figure out how Alonso, Basallo, Ryan Mountcastle and Adley Rutschman can all help the Orioles play winning baseball in 2026.
Part of this headache was “solved” as a side effect of the Jordan Westburg injury. With Westburg out until at least May, Coby Mayo spent all of spring training earning the Opening Day start at 3B—and in turn taking him out of the equation at 1B. That still leaves four players vying for playing time at three spots.
Common sense says that Alonso will get the Opening Day start at first, with Rutschman behind the plate and Basallo at DH, leaving RMC as a bench bat and late inning defensive replacement. Then, against LHPs, Alonso will slide to DH, Mountcastle will step in at 1B and Basallo will assume a traditional backup catcher role in the dugout.
However, if managing a team were as simple as following common sense, you wouldn’t need 10+ years of major league coaching experience to land in the first-base dugout at Camden Yards. Will Alby prioritize getting RMC’s better glove in the lineup against more than just lefties? Will the lack of a third catcher influence how often Basallo and Rutschman start together? These are the questions Alby will look to answer over his first 10 series as Orioles manager.
4. Alby’s return to Cleveland
At every opportunity this offseason, the Orioles’ new manager has spoken glowingly about friend and former boss, Stephen Vogt. Albernaz will get the chance to square off against the reigning two-time AL Manager of the Year and his former employer, the Guardians, when the O’s visit Cleveland in mid-April.
While the matchup will certainly be emotional for the Orioles new skipper, it also gives him and his new team a chance to prove they can win the type of games that playoff teams win. On paper, the O’s are more talented than the reigning AL Central champions. However, Vogt has made his name as a manager through exceeding expectations and minimizing his team’s perceived shortcomings. Albernaz has a similar task with the Orioles; beating his friend and mentor would be a strong early sign that he’s up for the challenge.
