The group stage of the 2026 World Cup is officially over, and the questions on everyone’s mind are: will we see any more upsets in the first knock out round? By how many goals will Messi extend the scoring record? Could Mbappe actually catch (or possibly even surpass) that total this tournament? And most importantly: what are the current results of the BWRAO World Cup Bracket?
Well I can help you out with one of the three, at least!
Leading the way after 72 matches is rjr96 with 380 points and the most
correct guesses (50), exact scores (10), and highest accuracy (69.4%). The gap at the top has widened, with 17 points separating them from Dino1995 in second place and 34 points between first and fifth place (MmmCheese, Fawkey, and Haaandyvandy round out spots three to five).
Everyone loves a good upset, and there have been some surprising results so far (looking at you, Cabo Verde). But they’re just so tough to predict!
The players that have gone against the grain the most were JuveTori, Kmartino, Pambrosini, semperty and LaMatonellaDiDelPiero, with each doing so more for more than a quarter of their picks (nearly a third for JuveTori!). But, as stated, these are tricky picks to make and so far none of the contrarians have broken into the top five on the overall leaderboard (LaMattonellaDiDelPiero is knocking on the door in 6th place).
In keeping with the tricky nature of predicting an upset, most of these guesses were correct less than a third of the time, with LaMattonellaDiDelPiero leading the way with a success rate of 30% (6 correct out of 18 total contrarian picks).
Some groups seemed to be easier to predict than others, with group C (Brazil, Haiti, Morocco, and Scotland), group I (France, Iraq, Norway, and Senegal), and group J (Algeria, Argentina, Austria, and Jordan) all garnering a prediction rate of over 80% among BWRAO players. The least predictable was group H (Cabo Verde, Saudi Arabia, Spain, and Uruguay), largely down to a matchday 1 result – in which no player guessed the correct outcome – and Cabo Verde’s Cinderella story progression to the knockout rounds.
While the exact score predictions varied by group, the outlier was group L (Croatia, England, Ghana, and Panama), with a far greater accuracy rate than the rest. A full 22.2% of the exact score predictions hit the mark, with the next highest being group C with 16.7%.
There were at least five outcomes everyone correctly predicted, namely Canada overcoming Qatar, both Brazil and Morocco beating Haiti, Germany defeating Curacao and Spain topping Saudi Arabia. While the exact scores weren’t as successfully picked, no fewer than five players correctly anticipated the final 3-0 scoreline for the Brazilians.
On the other hand, no one was able to foresee the outcomes of Qatar vs Switzerland, Australia vs Türkiye, Ecuador vs Curacao, Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay, and Spain vs Cabo Verde.
Tougher even than predicting the overall outcomes is predicting the exact score. But for every game in which you do, there are three sweet, sweet bonus points waiting as your reward – which can bump you up the table a place or two. There wasn’t as much variation in the success rate for exact scores, with a mere 2 correct guesses separating the top ten players. Leading the pack is the overall points leader, rjr96 with 10 accurate predictions, earning them a cool thirty bonus points – bumping them up first from what would otherwise be fifth place in the standings. Dino1995’s 27 bonus points has made a big difference as well, vaulting them from ninth to second place.
With the knockout rounds now underway there will be plenty more points to be won and the leader board is certainly not finalized yet. Stick around to see where the chips will land in the games to come!
