Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Light Heavyweight sluggers Zhang Mingyang vs. Johnny Walker will go to war TODAY (Sat., Aug. 23, 2025) at UFC Shanghai inside Shanghai Indoor Stadium in Shanghai, China.
There’s a lot to like about the 27-year-old “Mountain Tiger.” Mingyang hasn’t lost a fight since 2016, not just beating but stopping 12 straight opponents in that span. He’s still fairly unproven, but there’s no doubt the Chinese prospect is a powerful and aggressive up-and-comer, which is just what
the stagnant 205-pound division requires. Walker can probably relate to being a hyped prospect turning heads. Back in 2019, Walker was riding a streak of incredible knockouts and in talks to face Jon Jones. Then, he ran afoul of Corey Anderson, and since then, the Brazilian has been knocked out as often as he’s won.
Let’s take a closer look at the betting odds and strategic keys for each athlete:
Mingyang vs. Walker Betting Odds
- Zhang Mingyang victory: -340
- Zhang Mingyang via TKO/KO/DQ: -280
- Zhang Mingyang via submission: +1200
- Zhang Mingyang via decision: +2500
- Johnny Walker victory: +270
- Johnny Walker via TKO/KO/DQ: +450
- Johnny Walker via submission: +1100
- Johnny Walker via decision: +1600
- Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
How Mingyang Wins
Mingyang is a highly aggressive striker who fights like he’s never been knocked out (despite a trio of strikes stoppages on his record). He pushes forward hard behind heavy swings but perhaps does his best work int he clinch, where Mingyang is creative and downright nasty with his usage of elbows and knees.
This match up will be a bit of a balancing act for Mingyang, who has to stay true to himself without giving up the takedown. I’d hate to see Mingyang respect his opponent’s kicks too much, because he definitely has the skills to just walk through Walker’s kicks and blast him. At the same time, he definitely doesn’t want to get reactive double legged off his feet, because Walker is a big boy with legitimate jiu-jitsu skill.
The answer is to maintain the pressure and activity but add a little more thought. Some feints and false starts would go a long way here. Perhaps the best chance to land punches is in response to Walker’s kicks: block and fire in combination! Another option to avoid the reactive double is to intentionally clinch up and then look for those devastating elbows, which would force Walker into more of upper body wrestling positions.
If Mingyang is standing, he’ll find Walker’s chin before too long.
How Walker Wins
On paper, Walker should still be in the Top 10. In addition to being gigantic, he’s a powerful kickboxer with crafty counters, and his wrestling and jiu-jitsu are definitely above average for the division. Unfortunately, Walker has the small issue that most clean connections from his opponent send him straight to outer space.
This is a very clear case of DO NOT STRIKE WITH THIS GUY for Walker. He’s the better kicker by a fair margin, sure, and Mingyang does leave himself open to counters while charging forward, certainly. Those may be the facts, but it’s equally true that any one-to-one exchange of punches is going result in a comatose Walker.
I strongly feel that it’s wrestle-or-die here, and Walker might as well get on the takedown early. Throw a kick or two, circle, then commit to that running double. Mingyang’s ground game remains a giant question mark. Based on the history of young knockout artists rising up the 205 pound ranks, it’s probably terrible! If a giant veteran like Walker gets on top of him, there’s a strong chance Mingyang looks a lot more ordinary.
Mingyang vs. Walker Prediction
There are two things I definitely do not trust in this sport: the unproven ground games of prospects above 185-pounds, and Walker’s chin. This bout is forcing me to weigh my misgivings against one another, and I’m forced to consider the evidence. We have video proof — so, so much video proof — now that Walker cannot take a shot, whereas Mingyang’s ground game being trash is merely conjecture.
Mingyang has proven quite good at finding the chin thus far, so he’s likely good for at least one quick knockout in his home country.
Prediction: Mingyang via knockout
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