After making the pitching work behind Reynaldo Lopez Friday for a win in Lopez’ return to the rotation, the Braves will hope for a successful more traditional start from Bryce Elder on Saturday night. Elder has been pretty rough of late and Logan Webb is on the mound for the Giants, so this isn’t the most confidence-inducing game on paper.
The strikeouts have ticked down ever so slightly, but the real change for Elder in the month of June, as compared to his previous two successful months has been
the fly ball to homer rate. As such, his xFIP has remained in the range of 4, while his ERA and FIP have skyrocketed. Pitching at Oracle Park may play into Elder’s favor with this, being the second least-favorable park for hitting homers in MLB. With Webb on the mound, the Braves may need Elder to keep the Giants to only a few runs to stay in this game.
Logan Webb is having his worst season in a while though, with a 3.51 xFIP over 83.1 innings this year. The walks have remained quite low for Webb, but his ground ball rate and strikeouts are both at career-low numbers since his breakout, which explains the xFIP slightly above his normal lofty standards. Webb remains a five-pitch pitcher, throwing his sinker the most, along with his changeup and sweeper, with a four-seamer and cutter to supplement the sinker. All of his non-sweeper pitches are biased towards the “drop” side of vertical movement, even with his four-seamer lacking ideal “rise”. Webb is a tough pitcher and the Braves’ offense hasn’t exactly been humming lately. We’ll likely have to hope for some sequencing luck and maybe a homer or two, as Webb is tough to slug off of, especially at Oracle. It would be really helpful for Drake Baldwin to show back up as an offensive force with his reverse splits against the tough lefty Webb.
Game Info
Game Date/Time: Saturday, June 27, 9:05 p.m. EDT
Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
TV: BravesVision
Streaming: MLB.tv
Radio: 680 AM / 93.7 FM The Fan
