In evaluating Joel Embiid’s 2025-26 season, let’s refer back to his comments following the Sixers’ second-round sweep at the hands of the soon-to-be-champion New York Knicks:
“For me, this was a success. I came into this year not knowing where I was gonna be, how long I was gonna play, if I was even gonna play based on how the knee was the last few years. I came in just hoping for the best.
“And I feel like we’re in a position where we figured out the knee. It hasn’t been an issue. If it wasn’t for
the oblique or some of the other stuff I had, it would have been different as would have how many games I would have played.”
Under that lens, Embiid’s season was an unqualified success. Following yet another surgery last year, Joel was clearly uncertain whether the knee would allow him to keep playing going forward, particularly at the level he expected for himself. However, after a slow start to the season, he appeared in 14 January games, averaging 29.7 points and 8.4 rebounds, and shooting 53.7 percent from the field. Embiid twice played 40 or more minutes in a game during the month. He wasn’t back to his previous MVP form, particularly with less mobility and spring on the defensive end, but this version of Embiid was still an All-Star-caliber player.
Of course, Joel would then go on to miss significant time with an oblique injury, have ankle and hip issues, and have the start of his postseason impacted by emergency appendicitis surgery. Add it all up and he only appeared in 38 regular season games and seven of Philadelphia’s 11 postseason contests. Those figures speak to the predicament the Sixers find themselves in with regard to Joel. Embiid is set to make close to $58 million next season, with escalating values across the subsequent two years. You need someone soaking up that percentage of your cap to be the unquestioned cornerstone of the team. But this version of Embiid is more of a seasonal decoration you bring out for a month or two and then place back into storage.
Embiid is automatically missing a dozen or so games per season by sitting out back-to-backs. Even under a best-case scenario, he’s going to also miss a handful of games here and there and you’re looking at a ceiling of 60 games played. Sixers fans would be doing backflips if that were the case and you’re talking about a starter missing a quarter of the season. You can’t allocate major resources to the backup center position when Joel is making that much money, and the team overall is going to have trouble adopting a continuity of play style with Embiid in and out of the lineup. It’s a problem.
Still, I don’t know exactly what route Mike Gansey and the new front office can take. You’re not getting positive value for Joel in a trade, and any smaller salary dump contracts the team would receive in return would almost certainly lower the team’s ceiling vs. having him around. Hopefully, that stretch from late December to early February can provide the blueprint moving forward. You play it smart with him during the regular season, hoping to have him available for something like 60-70 percent of the year, then have him round into form as the playoffs approach and hope one of his internal organs doesn’t unexpectedly rupture.
As the Sixers prepare for the future and build around the backcourt of Tyrese Maxey and VJ Edgecombe, I believe Embiid can still be a positive part of the team’s present. Hopefully, last season represents more of a positive step towards a new normal for the big man, and not as much a last glimpse of a tremendous career.
