As the Rockies try to claw their way back to winning, there has been lots of discussion about how the organization needs to follow the exampleof the Chicago White Sox, who went from 102 losses in 2025 to the playoffs this season. President of baseball operations Paul DePodesta and manager Warren Schaeffer have both talked about it.
Over the years, there have been many organizations that have provided a model that Colorado could try to emulate, including small-market teams like the Tampa Bay Rays and
Milwaukee Brewers. Whether it’s how to thrive with a smaller payroll, how to use data, strategies and technology, or how to build a roster, there are many great ideas out there.
On Oct. 14, The Athletic’s Eno Saris provided more grist for the Colorado mill, going on a deep dive into the Rays and Brewers and laying out some interesting approaches both teams have taken to achieve success over the years to end up deep in the postseason in 2026. In his piece titled “Rays, Brewers always outperform expectations. These ‘Moneyball’-like edges are the key,” Sarris explores numerous factors in detail: types of technology used, data, pitch framing, catcher defense, creative pitching strategies, roster height, outfield route running, pitch design innovation and more.
Sarris’ analysis is loaded with ideas to look at throughout the offseason, especially considering the Rockies are led by the Moneyballer himself — president of baseball operations Paul DePodesta.
The Rockies are trying to implement, have yet to try, or aren’t succeeding at many of Sarris’ points; however, there are also some areas in which the Rockies are showing growth. Opting for a positive take in this first analysis — knowing there will also be lots of areas for improvement — I figured I’d start with one of Sarris’ points on the value of emphasizing contact and speed.
Sarris starts this section out by saying,
Everything old is new again. As the league’s strikeout rate has climbed and teams have focused on power, the speedy slap hitter has largely gone out of style. Well, the Rays had the best strikeout rate in baseball this year, and were also second in steals, while the Brewers were fourth in steals and featured five or six important hitters with great contact rates, depending on how you count.
Let’s bring the numbers and the Rockies into that.
The Rays are the best at not striking out. The Brewers? No so much. The Rockies? They’re getting better.
Colorado went from striking out 25.9% of the time in 2025, which was the second-worst in MLB, to striking out 22.8% of the time this season. The better plate discipline bumped the Rockies from No. 29 to No. 21, showing that they are on the right track.
The Brewers rank No. 17 in strikeout rate, just four spots ahead of Colorado, but they also have significantly better pitching than the Rockies. Colorado has to bank on putting the ball in play more, having more runners and getting them to score by any means necessary to help combat the runs we know the pitching staff will surrender.
That’s where base running came in.
The Rockies went from being atrocious at stealing bases in 2025 to a little above average in 2026. While the numbers aren’t high, Colorado did jump from No. 23 in stolen bases with 87 in 2025 to No. 13 with 109 in 2026. That’s largely due to Jake McCarthy’s 32 steals, which were the most by a single Rockie in a season since 2015 when Charlie Blackmon swiped 43 bags. While still far behind the Rays (164) and Brewers (162), that’s a big jump in one season.
Sarris explains a key stolen base success rate that each team should be aiming for:
The numbers say that every team should be stealing more. Depending on how many outs there are, the break-even point in terms of the value of that extra base put against the value of the out is around a 70-75 percent success rate. If you are successful less often, you’re costing your team too many outs for the value of getting to second. If you are successful more often than that, you’re leaving potential extra bases on the table and being too careful.
The Rockies were 72.7% effective when trying to steal bases in 2026, which is more than 4% better than in 2025. Both the Rays and Brewers are above 75%. Considering again that the Rockies need to score more than the average team to win games, they need another jump in their success rates in 2027 to keep trending in the right direction. They will also need to steal a lot more often to ever grow their totals to the likes of the Rays and Brewers, which stole 55 and 53 more bases, respectively, than the Rockies last season.
The takeaways — at least in these two areas — are simple: Put the ball in play more and get caught stealing less, while trying to steal more. It’s easier said than done, but at least the Rockies are making progress.
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