It was always going to take a lot for the Sixers to pull off a first-round upset over the second-seeded Boston Celtics. They were going to have to make the rebounding battle look respectable, which they haven’t done. They were going to have to keep Boston’s role players in check, which they haven’t done. Their stars needed to take over games, which they haven’t done.
On top of all that, the Sixers were going to need some shooting luck. Clearly, one game of VJ Edgecombe and Tyrese Maxey going nuclear
wouldn’t be enough. They needed to have their role players shoot it well consistently all series.
After getting blown out in Game 1, having shot just 38% from the field and 17% from three, there was solace to be taken in the fact that the Sixers couldn’t possibly shoot that bad the rest of the way, especially given the fact that it was a lot of open looks they shot poorly on.
Three games later, the Sixers have not been able to dig themselves out of the hole, and their inability to hit open shots is a huge reason for that. Through their four games the Sixers have the second-worst field goal percentage on open shots at 30.3%, just barely better than Denver’s 30%. They are 11th out of the 16 playoff teams in field goal percentage on open threes, making 33.3% of them.
The inability to finish good possessions has notably taken the wind out of their sails. After they were blown out again in Game 4, Nick Nurse detailed how he thought the Sixers got good looks on the first 10-12 possessions of the game, but they had only put eight points on the board.
Here are a couple of examples of that, with the ball swinging to Edgecombe and Kelly Oubre Jr. to what would qualify as wide-open threes.
As their wide-open field goal percentage would indicate, they’re shooting even worse on open twos than threes. Here’s a couple examples of shots the Sixers definitely want to generate from inside the arc just not falling.
This has been a bottom-10 outcome for the Sixers shooting in the playoffs, but there is more to it than shooting variance. The Sixers were not a good three-point shooting team in the regular season, ranking 23rd in the league. It’s hard for them to rely on getting good shooting luck because the best three-point shooters on the team are the highest usage players.
Along with Maxey and Paul George, the other three of the top five Sixers in three-point percentage this season were Justin Edwards, who’s on the fringes of the rotation, Andre Drummond, who shoots one a game, and Oubre, who’s had the best season from three of his career.
It sure is bad luck that Oubre has followed up the best three-point regular season of his career by shooting 17% in the playoffs, but it’s also bad roster construction that they are so dependent on shooters like him. The Sixers had a chance in this series to prove they’re closer to Boston than many may think, but they’re inability to put the ball in the hoop has prevented them from getting out of the gate.
