Werder Bremen host Wolfsburg this evening in a matchup between two very closely teams. My model, Predicting Ball, gives Werder Bremen a very small ratings edge, and it gives Bremen a 47.1% win probability
over Wolfsburg’s 26.6%. The rest of the weekend’s fixtures include several big mismatches. Union Berlin have a win probability of 5.3% against Bayern Munich on Saturday, which is the lowest I’ve seen so far this season. The highlights from the weekend’s schedule, in terms of potentially competitive and interesting match-ups, are probably Saturday’s late game between Borussia Mönchengladbach and FC Köln, and Freiburg vs St. Pauli, and Freiburg vs St. Pauli on Sunday afternoon.
Here is this weekend’s Bundesliga schedule:
Friday:
- Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg
Saturday:
- Bayer Leverkusen vs Heidenheim
- Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund
- Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig
- Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Köln
Sunday:
- Freiburg vs St. Pauli
- VfB Stuttgart vs Augsburg
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz
The same rules apply as the BVB match threads, though I’m hoping tempers are less likely to flare in these threads. But as a reminder, here are the match thread rules:
- Exercise common sense. We allow profanity, adult humor, and other forms of crudeness within reason, but of course there are lines. Hateful language will not be tolerated. Exceptionally violent language (especially directed at specific people) will not be tolerated. Before you type, ask yourself, “Would I have a reasonable expectation of being thrown out of a bar in an average city if I said something like this?”
- Be respectful. There will definitely be times when everyone is upset and disagreements get heated, and that’s fine, but remember that we’re all rooting for the same team. Keep arguments based on substance and not personal insults.
- No sharing illegal streams. NONE. Zero tolerance.
- No spam. I have no interest in whatever crypto scheme you’re shilling. You will be banned.
Enjoy the game! Heja BVB!
