The Yankees squandered a chance to sweep the Twins Wednesday, dropping a 13-inning gut punch that diminished their chances of catching up to the Rays in the AL East. They’ll head to Phoenix this weekend for a three-game set against the Diamondbacks, who’ve dropped consecutive series and are hanging by a thread in the NL Wild Card race. With a four-game set against the Rays looming next week, this series against Arizona will be crucial in determining if the Yankees control their own destiny heading
into the season’s final week. Let’s take a look at the likely starting pitching matchups.
Friday: Gerrit Cole vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (9:40 pm ET)
Tonight at Chase Field, all eyes will be on Gerrit Cole. Aside from the importance of the game on its own merits, it will be a crucial opportunity for the longtime Yankees ace to show whether he can still be counted upon as a frontline starter this postseason. After posting an exemplary 3.11 ERA in his first 16 starts back from Tommy John surgery, he’s stumbled in his last four, allowing 15 runs in 22.2 innings. Most concerning has been his battle with the long ball, having allowed seven in his last two starts. With Cam Schlittler, Max Fried, and Carlos Rodón firing on all cylinders, a strong outing tonight will help reassure the Yankees that Cole’s recent struggles are just a blip and that he belongs squarely in their playoff rotation.
Cole will face a fellow veteran hurler who’s in the midst of a career year. At the age of 33, Eduardo Rodríguez made his first All-Star team this year and has been a rock for the D-Backs, going 15-6 with a 2.62 ERA that quietly ranks fourth in the NL. Opponents are hitting below the Mendoza line against his heater and are slugging just .335 against his changeup, his top complementary pitch. The latter weapon has been particularly effective against righties, against whom the southpaw has fared batter this year than his fellow lefties. Rodríguez labored his last time out, allowing six runs in 5.1 innings, though only three were earned as the D-Backs committed two costly errors in the fifth.
Saturday: Cam Schlittler vs. Brandon Pfaadt (8:10 pm ET)
When the conversation turns from Cy Young to MVP, you’ve entered rarified air. If the season ended today, Cam Schlittler’s 2026 would rank second in Yankees history in WHIP (0.904) and eighth in ERA (1.95). He’s already seventh in strikeouts (228) and could easily crack the top three with two more representative outings. The last time Schlittler allowed more than a run in one of his starts was on August 3rd. He allowed no runs and one hit in his last outing as he ran roughshod over the Mets. At this point in the season, Schlittler is as close to a sure thing as it gets.
He’s lined up to face Brandon Pfaadt. A hero of the D-Backs’ run to the World Series in 2023, Pfaadt has struggled to establish himself in the intervening years. After spending some time in the bullpen and in the minors this year, he rejoined the rotation on June 30 and has been lights out ever since, going 7-2 with a 2.83 ERA over 12 starts. That ERA was as low as 2.38 before his last outing, a six-run implosion in which he allowed 10 hits to the Rangers in 6.1 innings. Pfaadt doesn’t get many strikeouts but also walks few, relying on soft contact generated by his six-pitch mix to work through lineups.
Thursday: Will Warren vs. Corbin Burnes (4:10 pm ET)
Will Warren may have nine lives. In mid-August, it looked like his days in the rotation were numbered with Rodón scheduled to return from injury. Instead, with Fried and Ryan Weathers landing on the shelf, the 27-year-old got a reprieve. He’s made the most of it, going 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in his last five outings (four starts) while allowing just two home runs. While he’s unlikely to crack the playoff rotation barring injury, Warren has helped reassert himself as a valuable asset in the bullpen this postseason and in the rotation going forward.
The D-Backs are scheduled to hand the ball to Corbin Burnes. After signing a six-year megadeal with Arizona before the 2025 season, he made only 11 starts before missing a year-plus to Tommy John surgery. Burnes has made just two outings since his return and has looked rusty. His last time out, the former Cy Young Award winner allowed five runs in 4.2 innings to the Marlins. He threw just 75 pitches in that start as he continues to ramp up, and it’s unclear if he’ll be permitted to shoulder a full starter’s workload this time out.
