I am in 4-6 hell.
Another 4-6 week hit late, thanks to Alabama and Georgia completely falling apart offensively in the second half in a game on pace to go way over the total. That’s what I get for thinking that one would clear. And Vandy giving up a lastminute garbage TD was a gut punch.
But, as usual, can’t stop, won’t stop despite a 21-29 mark. Gotta turn it around at some point, so why not now? As usual, I’m using the lines as of Friday over at the FanDuel Sportsbook.
(Disclaimer: these are just
my opinions. Please do your own analysis and pick accordingly. I am not telling you what to do with your money. Be responsible. Have a gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&C apply; lines subject to change.)
And now, on with this week’s picks…
Miami at FLORIDA STATE +4.5
Now, before you all throw rocks at me, know I’m going with that pick here because I took Miami by 4, which will be revealed later this week in staff picks. So I’m on the Miami winning bandwagon, but this will be a close battle. The Noles cover by a hook here.
PENN STATE -24.5 at UCLA
UCLA is one of the worst Power Four teams I’ve seen in years, and if Penn State is worth even half a crap, they’ll shake off last week and put a pounding on the Bruins in the Rose Bowl.
MISSISSIPPI STATE +14.5 at Texas A&M
The Bulldogs showed me something last week against Tennessee. I think they go into Kyle Field and hang with a Texas A&M team that has been in some close battles this year.
ILLINOIS -9.5 at Purdue
I think the Illini have shaken off that rancid Indiana performance with the big win over USC and go to West Lafayette and take care of business by double digits.
VANDERBILT +10.5 at Alabama
The Commodores are no flukes. They’re playing great football this year. Alabama is streaking, but I think Diego Pavia makes this a four-quarter game again, and the 10.5-plus is a great safety cushion.
IOWA STATE +1.5 at Cincinnati
I was a little surprised to see Iowa State a dog here, although the Bearcats have been good on offense this year after a meh opener at Nebraska, knocking off Kansas on the road last week. I still trust Rocco Becht and the Cyclones, even on the road.
Clemson at UNC; OVER 46.5
I don’t know if Clemson fully covers the 14.5, but I do think they score easier than they have been against a soft UNC team. I hope some late backdoor points finally work for me here instead of against.
Texas at Florida; OVER 41.5
I should take the under here with two good defenses, but this number is too low for me to feel comfortable. Going the other way with it here.
SYRACUSE +17.5 at SMU
Syracuse has had some back luck, with Steve Angeli going down against Clemson with an Achilles injury. That was felt las week in a 38-3 home loss to Duke. But I have a feeling Rickie Collins and the Cuse at least compete on the road against what’s been a bad SMU defense. Ponies win, Cuse cover.
Kent State at Oklahoma; OVER 53.5
I feel like OU will get close to this total themselves, but garbage time points get the Golden Flashes and Sooners over the mark late.