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2025 AFC Midseason Report Cards: Three Teams Ace the First Half, While Four Fail | SI
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have endured a very abnormal season. They’re 5–4 and currently out of the playoffs. They also have terrific odds in every sportsbook to win the Super Bowl, despite being in third place in the AFC West.
Patrick Mahomes is a big reason to believe in Kansas City as an MVP frontrunner with 2,349 passing yards and 17 touchdowns, while Travis Kelce leads all tight ends with 540 receiving yards at age
36. Defensively, the Chiefs are also in the top 10 in yards and points allowed. It’s been a weird season, but the Chiefs are where they need to be.
Grade: C
NFL midseason team grades: Colts, Patriots earn ‘A’ for unexpected rise | CBS Sports
Kansas City Chiefs: C
Record entering Week 10: 5-4 (third place in AFC West)
Kansas City remains the betting favorite to win Super Bowl LX, but that’s largely based on reputation. In a vacuum, it’s been up and down for them in 2025. The Chiefs began the year 0-2, losing to the Chargers in the opener and then the Eagles. They were able to claw back to .500 by ripping off back-to-back wins, but then had a puzzling defeat to the Jaguars to push them back down. More recently, the Chiefs looked like their old selves, averaging 29.6 points per game over a three-game winning streak between Week 6 and Week 8. As has been the theme, however, they came back down the earth in Week 9 in a loss to Buffalo, where Patrick Mahomes was sacked three times and hit 15 times. They are still well within range of making a Chiefs-like surge in the second half, but they’ll need to be gangbusters out of the bye. To this point, it’s been hot and cold.
6 Trades We Wish We Would Have Seen at 2025 NFL Trade Deadline | Bleacher Report
Chiefs Acquire RB Breece Hall From the Jets
This was another potential “over the top” move that failed to come together, with Breece Hall remaining in New York despite the fact that the Jets held a fire sale.
Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt aren’t moving the needle in the offensive backfield for a Chiefs team that is clearly all-in right now. Those two veterans are averaging 4.2 and 4.0 yards per carry, respectively, while Hall is at 5.0 and coming off a 133-yard, two-touchdown performance in Week 9.
The 24-year-old, in a contract year, would have been an ideal rental for the Chiefs. They made no moves this week while playoff rivals such as Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Indianapolis all improved.
Record: 5-4 · Odds: +150
(16 votes: Abdoo, Baca, Battista, Carr, Cersosimo, Edholm, Gonzales, Gordon, Holzman-Escareno, Jones-Drew, Koplowitz-Fleming, Okada, Parr, Reuter, Shook, Zierlein)
2) Denver Broncos, 7-2 (+105) | 9 votes: Band, Bergman, Blair, Chadiha, Filice, Florio, Kownack, Patra, Ross.
Highest-Graded Player: C Creed Humphrey
The NFL’s best center has been undeniably great in yet another season. Humphrey’s 89.4 overall PFF grade is the second-best among any qualified lineman, trailing only Sewell. Moreover, he’s produced an 83.6-plus grade in both pass- and run-blocking.
Biggest Surprise: CB Jaylen Watson
The Chiefs were known to boast Trent McDuffie in their secondary, but they have another star brewing in Watson. Watson’s 74.9 overall PFF grade ranks eighth among qualified cornerbacks, placing in the 81st percentile in PFF coverage grade at outside corner.
Stat to Know: The Chiefs have punted on just 26.2% of their offensive possessions, the second-lowest frequency.
Around the NFL
Jets GM Mougey says trades of Gardner, Williams not ‘teardown’ | ESPN
New York Jets general manager Darren Mougey apologized to reporters for being hoarse Tuesday, saying it was because he had done a lot of talking. And dealing.
In a watershed day for the franchise, Mougey traded defensive cornerstones Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams in separate blockbusters, essentially shifting the focus to 2026 and beyond.
“I wouldn’t call it a teardown,” Mougey said about two hours after the NFL trade deadline.
The Jets are 1-7 and looking at their 15th straight non-playoff season, the league’s longest active drought. Mougey, in his first season, said they aren’t giving up on 2025.
Bill Belichick among 9 coaches advancing in Hall of Fame process | ESPN
Six-time Super Bowl-winning coach Bill Belichick and four other head coaches who won Super Bowls are among the nine semifinalists in the coach category for the Class of 2026 for the Pro Football Hall of Fame.
Belichick is in his first year of eligibility after rule changes put in place last year requiring coaches to be out of the NFL for only one full season before being considered for the Hall.
Two-time Super Bowl champion coaches Tom Coughlin, Mike Shanahan and George Seifert also advanced, along with another Super Bowl winner in Mike Holmgren.
The other coaches in the running are Buddy Parker, who won two NFL titles with the Detroit Lions in the pre-Super Bowl era, Chuck Knox, Dan Reeves and Marty Schottenheimer.
In case you missed it on Arrowhead Pride
Chiefs Playoff Picture: At 5-4, still a good chance for the playoffs
The Chiefs’ playoff picture
As it stands right now, Kansas City has a 78% chance to make the playoffs, a 28% chance to win the AFC West, only a 4% chance to earn the AFC’s single bye, and a 7% chance to win Super Bowl LX.
To be sure, these numbers aren’t particularly encouraging. When we began publishing these playoff summaries on November 8 of last season, the Chiefs were 8-0 — and had a greater than 99% chance to make the playoffs, a 97% chance to win the AFC West, an 82% chance to earn the AFC bye, and a 19% chance to win Super Bowl LIX.
But after Sunday’s 28-21 loss to the Bills dropped the team to 5-4, plenty of fans have assumed Kansas City has no chance to even make the postseason. These probabilities show us there’s still a good chance to make the postseason — and even at two games behind Denver, there’s a fighting chance to win the division, too.
The playoff calculator allows us to assume the outcomes of remaining games and see how it changes the odds. For now, we’ll mostly focus on what’s in the team’s control; it’s still too early for complex scenarios.
Let’s dig in.
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