The Rockies head to Minnesota tonight to begin the actual second half of the season — Game 82, not the post-All-Star-break version — still buried in the NL West at 32-49 with a -90 run differential. They are 11.5 games out of the final National League playoff spot, and the fan conversation has already moved fully into trade deadline mode. That feels appropriate. The Rockies should be active at the deadline, and for several players on the roster, playing well over the next month will make them more
likely to be moved, not less.
That does not mean the first half was empty. The Rockies have made some measurable progress from last year’s 119-loss disaster.
Colorado has also been more competitive lately. The Rockies have won their last two series, taking two of three from Pittsburgh behind a tight win in Kyle Freeland’s gem and a pitchers’ duel win from Sugano, then following it with a series win over Boston that included a walk-off win and a late comeback. They are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
The Twins enter the series at 38-44, third in the AL Central and 4.5 games back in a division that remains available. The larger state of things in Minnesota is still uneven: the Twins are 6-4 over their last 10, but they were just swept by the Dodgers, ending with a one-run loss full of stranded chances. They carry a -29 run differential, and their expected record is also 38-44, so this is not a team being misrepresented by its overall record.
The interleague split is worth noting, too. Minnesota is just 9-18 against National League teams this season, while Colorado is 12-9 against the American League. That might not mean much on the whole, but it is an interesting wrinkle in a series between one team trying to hang around and another already looking toward the deadline.
Taking the ball for the Rox is Tomoyuki Sugano (菅野 智之). The 36-year-old right-hander enters at 8-4 with a 4.31 ERA, 46 strikeouts, and 79.1 innings pitched across 15 starts. Sugano has become one of the more enjoyable players on the roster thanks to his calm mound presence and the extra layer of mystique that comes with his work through an interpreter. He has also been effective enough to make his future in Colorado a legitimate question as the deadline approaches.
He was sharp his last time out, allowing four hits and one run across six innings against the Pirates while striking out five. Sugano threw seven different pitch types in that start, led by his splitter, slider, and four-seam fastball, and generated 11 whiffs on 50 swings. The splitter has been the most useful pitch in the mix overall, while the four-seamer remains the pitch most likely to get him into trouble. Sugano is a pitcher, not a thrower, and he has been very effective — just maybe do not stare at his Baseball Savant page for too long. His path is built around mixing shapes, limiting walks, and keeping hitters from sitting on one speed. When that is working, he can deliver what he has all year long: a competitive start.
Opposite Sugano is Taj Bradley, a 25-year-old right-hander who enters at 6-3 with a 4.11 ERA, 84 strikeouts, and 76.2 innings pitched across 14 starts. The contrast is pretty clear. Sugano is trying to survive with mix, command, and sequencing. Bradley is trying to beat hitters with power.
Bradley allowed two runs over five innings against Arizona his last time out, striking out four in a short but effective start. He leans on a four-seam fastball nearly half the time, and it is his best pitch by run value. The fastball averages 96.8 mph, and he pairs it with a cutter, splitter, and curveball. The cutter and splitter have been closer to neutral, while the curveball has generated whiffs but has also been hit hard enough to show up as a clear run-value weakness.
Bradley can miss bats, but the contact quality against him is the opening for Colorado. He has allowed a 46.9% hard-hit rate and a 10.3% barrel rate.
The Rockies lineup has a few bats worth tracking, too. Hunter Goodman enters the night fifth in MLB in home runs, TJ Rumfield has been especially hot over his last 15 games with a .345/.415/.724 line, five homers, and 14 RBI, and Mickey Moniak is back in the starting lineup for the second time in four games since returning from his IL/rehab stint.
For a rebuilding team, a 6-4 stretch is worth enjoying. The Rockies still have plenty of warts, and the deadline picture is only going to get louder, but this version of the roster has been more watchable, more competitive, and a lot more fun. Against an under .500 Twins team that has struggled in interleague play, Colorado has a chance to keep that going.
First Pitch: 6:10 p.m. MDT
TV: Rockies.TV
Radio: 850 AM/94.1 FM KOA Rockies Radio Network; KNRV 1150 AM (Spanish)
Twins SB Nation Site: Twinkie Town
Lineups:
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