We’ve heard plenty of stories about the Cleveland Browns and analytics over the years, especially when Paul DePodesta first came around. DePodesta departed this offseason to go back to Major League Baseball, but present day, analytics is more widely accepted as a standard across the NFL. One thing you typically don’t see, though, is using analytics to talk about a team’s win-loss record in critical moments.
That shifts us over to the Cleveland Cavaliers, who had fans on the highest of highs a little
over a week ago when they dominated the Detroit Pistons in Game 7 to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals against the New York Knicks. Unfortunately, the series against the Knicks has soured fans again, starting with when New York had an improbably 22-point comeback half-way through the fourth quarter in Game 1. Since then, the Cavaliers have not been able to have sustained success at getting a lead against the Knicks, with a combination of poor three-point shooting, defensive assignments, and New York executing at a high level combining to them now being down 3 games to 0 and facing elimination tonight. No team has ever come back from being down 0-3 at this stage.
Nonetheless, head coach Kenny Atkinson had this to say in an interview yesterday, which certainly didn’t go over the way you expected it too:
“Analytically, we’ve won three, no, two out of three games.” I saw someone on Twitter celebrate by posting a 2026 Analytical Champions Banner for the Cavaliers yesterday. That’d be like saying, “With our defense last year, analytically, the Browns made the postseason.” Yes, I get the things that he’s trying to imply, like the Knicks shot the lights out of the ball and the Cavaliers missed some open looks, and if those things had been closer to the averages, the outcome might have been differently. But there are so many variables in every game, and Cleveland hasn’t done the right things strategically to force such shooting percentages to be different on either side of the court.
It’s been an interesting past month of Cleveland sports — a time when all three major teams are potentially in the spotlight. You had fans high on the Cavaliers, they are currently high on the division-leading Guardians, and any time the Browns are in the midst of an offseason, it feels good to build up that hope all over again. But it looks like the Cavaliers are about to give way to the Browns in terms of sports fandom, with more organized team activities and then mandatory minicamp coming up over the next 2-3 weeks, as fans try to figure out who Cleveland’s starting quarterback will be in 2026.
