Every time the Knicks take the floor in the 2026-27 season, they will do so as the hunted. They won just about every prize you could win last season, meaning they’ll never get a game without a bit of edge from an opponent.
Things won’t truly get real until the postseason for the real title defense, but the Knicks did hang a second banner to hang forever at the World’s Most Famous Arena.
That’s right. It’s time for the NBA Cup.
Last year, as an appetizer for June’s dramatics, the Knicks went 3-1 in group
play, ultimately winning East Group C via head-to-head tiebreaker. They then took down the Raptors in Toronto, the Magic in Vegas, and came back from an 11-point third-quarter deficit to take home the NBA Cup after consecutive years of losing in the quarterfinals.
This year, they’ll face by far their hardest path to getting out of group play for the fourth consecutive year. Adam Silver has stacked the deck with a ridiculously competitive Group B that will be a war to get through. Even the wild card, which the Knicks have used to advance in the past, will be tough with likely few opportunities to run up the point differential.
Still, the Knicks are champs until they aren’t, even in a midseason tournament. Let’s meet the contenders:
East Group B
Philadelphia 76ers (10/30, 7:30, Prime Video)
Tonight’s Cup opener in the City of Brotherly Love will be the Knicks’ second crack at the makeshift superteam that bested them on Opening Night in a back-and-forth affair.
The Sixers are one of those teams that I question how seriously they’re going to take the NBA Cup. Sure, there are some big measuring-stick games in this group, but with a lineup that they will be heavily load-managing throughout the season, one wonders if they’re going to take a condensed calendar that will require additional travel and even an extra game at the end of it. We saw how it burned out the Knicks last year.
To start the year, Philly is 4-1 with a very strange combination of a mediocre offense and… the best defense in basketball? What sense does that make? They’ve been healthy, only missing Joel Embiid and LeBron James for a single game on the dueling ends of a back-to-back. Despite playing Embiid for 39 minutes on Wednesday, he’s not on the injury report for Friday night.
While the Knicks might not care about the Cup anymore, it would behoove them to get revenge on Opening Night and not have to wait until February for another crack at these guys. We saw it with Detroit last year; the last thing we need is a year-long narrative of one team having our number.
Indiana Pacers (11/13, 7:00, Prime Video)
When the Knicks played the Pacers last season, it didn’t feel like the vibe of a rekindled rivalry between two teams that had played in consecutive postseasons. That was because Indiana was taking a voluntary gap year while Tyrese Haliburton rehabbed from an Achilles tear, managing injuries all season long and slipping to 19-63. Thankfully, it wasn’t rewarded in the lottery when they slipped to No. 5 and gave the pick to the Clippers.
That trade with the Clips did get them a certified big man that will swallow up boards in Ivica Zubac, someone who will be a tough cookie for Karl-Anthony Towns when these two teams finally face off in a heated atmosphere for the first time in almost two years.
The only problem? It doesn’t sound like Haliburton will be at the party.
He recently suffered a hamstring injury that will leave him out for at least two weeks. This game was just 16 days after that diagnosis, meaning the odds are slim that he’ll return based on what we know right now. That’ll diminish what we see, but we’re all aware of what Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, and TJ McConnell can do for this team.
Indiana’s started the year off to an uneven 2-3 start, but Nembhard and Pascal Siakam are more than capable of shouldering the load in the coming weeks. I doubt they’ll be as special offensively as we’ve been accustomed to seeing without Haliburton, but they won’t be a pushover.
Going undefeated in this group will be hard, so this might be the Knicks’ best chance to pad their point differential. But to do that, the Knicks will need a full 48 minutes.
Cleveland Cavaliers (11/25, 7:30, MSG)
There are plenty of playoff rematches in this group. One of them is this Eastern Conference rematch the day before Thanksgiving at MSG, the site of the soul-crushing Game 1 comeback that killed the Cavs.
They’re off to an interesting 3-2 start, one that involves getting out to big leads every game, only to choke them immediately. They blew a 29-point lead to Philly, nearly blew a 20-point lead to Brooklyn, and had to rally late to beat Washington. The vibes are low there, if not just because nobody trusts Kenny Atkinson and James Harden has been abhorrent to start the year.
It’s hard to get a read on this game because the regular-season Knicks and the playoff Knicks are entirely different. It’s a team you expect to win, but we’re far enough out that we need to see what the situations look like.
Miami Heat (11/27, 7:00, Prime Video)
The Knicks’ 0-3 start got heavily publicized, but the Heat’s 0-4 start somehow made bigger waves after the massive offseason trade for Giannis Antetokounmpo.
The fit just looks clunky. He’s too similar to Bam Adebayo both offensively and defensively, which pushes Miami’s longest-tenured player to the periphery. That just can’t happen when your other scoring options are Davion Mitchell and Andrew Wiggins. The defense will round into form (maybe?), but this is just a bleak offensive outlook.
That said, they could match up well against the Knicks, given their lack of size.
OG Anunoby and Towns are good, but they can’t play all game. Towns especially is extremely prone to getting in foul trouble, which is a disaster against Giannis. James Wiseman and/or Andre Drummond will be crucial to negating their paint advantage enough for the Knicks’ clear shooting advantage.
If this game is meaningful after good enough results in the first three games, it’s not a place I think the Knicks can get point differential out of. They’d need to just need a win. Beating Erik Spoelstra’s crew in Miami has always been hard for this crew.
The Rest of the East
Group A
Pistons
Raptors
Magic
Bucks
Nets
This could be a friskily fun group.
The Pistons are 4-1 with just that lone loss to the Knicks and feel like the favorite here. As we saw on Tuesday, things can get spooky outside of Cade Cunningham, and they’re without Jalen Duren for at least the first game, but Paul Reed has been more than capable in his absence.
The Raptors are also 4-1, but have a much bleaker outlook without Kawhi Leonard for the next few weeks. Their viability in this group will rely on Scottie Barnes’ offensive consistency. He’s gone from dropping 25 to dropping… zero at times. RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley look good!
Orlando is 1-3 with their lone win over the Knicks, but they’re going to be without Jalen Suggs and Paolo Banchero for the foreseeable future. This will likely not be their year after a trip to the semifinals last year.
The same can be said for the Bucks, who are just very underwhelming with Kyle Kuzma-led hoops. The Nets will put up a big fight with Julius Randle and Michael Porter Jr. capable of going off for 30 a night, but they’re not good enough defensively nor deep enough to have a real shot.
Group C
Celtics
Hawks
Hornets
Bulls
Wizards
The Celtics will be the definitive favorite to come out of the group, especially with Jayson Tatum looking like an early MVP candidate. Their three-point shooting is enough to carry them through a regular season, but can they figure out what’s up with Mitchell Robinson? He looks like a shell of himself.
Atlanta ran back most of the group that pushed the Knicks to six games last year, but added a bunch of defense in Lu Dort and Aaron Wiggins. They’re healthy, play with enough grit, and have the talent to sneak their way into the knockout round.
The Hornets are… better off without LaMelo? Despite injuries knocking out Kon Knueppel and Coby White, they’ve looked impressive to start the year under a new nucleus of Naz Reid and Brandon Miller. With Knueppel due back for the bulk of NBA Cup play, could their dynamic offense get them back in the saddle?
As we saw in a scare on Wednesday night, the Bulls have the ability to be frisky. Caleb Wilson has shown signs of brilliance, Norm Powell can score 35 on any given night, and they’ve gotten some damn good shot quality even if they aren’t always falling. They probably won’t do much, but in a four-game sample, anything is possible.
The Wizards have their Big 3 healthy: AJ Dybantsa, Trae Young, and Anthony Davis, but they haven’t played enough to tell if they’re a true threat. I lean no, as of now.
A Quick West Check
West Group A
Nuggets
Rockets
Suns
Mavericks
Jazz
There are a lot of good teams in this group, but the Rockets look by far the best to start the year. If they stay healthy, they should have no problem. Dallas can steal some games with Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving, and the Nuggets have Nikola Jokic, but the outlook for the Suns and Jazz is bleaker. Utah’s injury bug is killing them, as Jaren Jackson Jr. will miss all of group play.
West Group B
Thunder
Timberwolves
Clippers
Pelicans
Grizzlies
Are… are the Grizzlies the favorite? They’re 5-0 entering group play, while the two contenders in this group will be without key pieces. Anthony Edwards is likely done until the New Year, as is Cason Wallace and Jalen Williams for OKC. The Clippers and Pelicans are two of the worst teams in basketball, so the unlikely underdog in Memphis might actually do this.
West Group C
Spurs
Lakers
Blazers
Warriors
Kings
There’s a clear hierarchy here. The Spurs are the favorites; the Lakers are a Luka Doncic explosion away from winning this whole damn thing; the Blazers are extremely frisky and could make noise, and both the Warriors and Kings are dead in the water. O/U 100 FGA for Darius Acuff Jr. in group play.
Predictions
East Group A: Give me the Pistons to win the group and the Raptors to come in second, but miss the wild card.
East Group B: The Knicks will not defend their cup title. There’s so much intensity with every game, not just in this group but league-wide, as the hunted. This feels like something that the regular-season merchants will succeed with, so congrats to the Cavs. This group will be cannibalized, so no wild card here
East Group C: Boston is the easy pick to win the group, but I see the Hornets somehow finding a way to steal the wild card. They’ll win a game against the Bulls by 40 and pad the point differential with that offense, especially with Knueppel back.
West Group A: The Rockets are a unit right now.
West Group B: I don’t know what way this is going to go with how diminished OKC is. Screw it, lt’s go with the Grizzlies.
West Group C: Spurs win the group, Blazers take the wild card via tiebreaker over the Lakers after a thrilling overtime win.
Quarterfinals: In the East, the No. 1 seed Pistons grind down the plucky Hornets at home, while the Cavs stun the Celtics in Boston due to three-point variance. In the West, the top-seeded Rockets blow out the Blazers in Houston, while the Spurs host and beat the Thunder.
Semifinals: The Pistons and Cavs fight hard in a big playoff rematch, but it goes the same way with the Cavs going to the finals. Meanwhile, the Rockets take down the Spurs at home.
Finals: At Hinkle Fieldhouse, the Cavs will be able to operate with an essential home game. Unfortunately, as usual, the lights will be too bright. The Rockets win the 2026 NBA Cup, with Fred VanVleet scoring NBA Cup MVP.
