The New York Mets (7-9) travel to the West Coast to face the Los Angeles Dodgers (11-4) in a three-game series in Chavez Ravine. While there is never a good time to face the best team on the planet two years running, coming off of a sweep by the lowly Athletics, the Mets could really have used an easier draw.
Where do we start?
With the exception of a failed comeback on Saturday afternoon, the Mets’ bats have been taking a spring siesta for the better part of a week. During their current five-game
losing streak, the Mets have scored nine runs, but six of those came in Saturday’s attempted comeback. They’ve been shut out twice, scored one run once, and scored two runs once in the other four games in that period.
It is easy to blame some of this offensive drought on Juan Soto’s stint on the injured list, but that is far too easy of a scapegoat. The entire team isn’t hitting with any consistency, including players who we all know are too good for this to be a long term issue, such as Bo Bichette and the notoriously slow-starting Francisco Lindor.
But for a team that lost a playoff spot by one game last season, that is cold comfort at best. And while there are some solutions that may be temporary balms (hello Thomas James Pham!), there was a narrative in the offseason that once Eric Chavez and his “hammer the ball into the ground as hard as you can as often as you can” philosophy was jettisoned, things would improve.
And they will. We know this. But for the short term, watching Marcus Semien take an even further dive into offensive irrelevance, Jorge Polanco unable to do much of anything, and Carson Benge look consistently overmatched at the plate, it is hard to feel good about the players that required an optimistic lens in the first place. Benge will adjust, Polanco will heal, Semien will…I don’t know, man. But right now, none of them are helping the team with their bats.
The good news, if there is any, is that the pitching staff hasn’t been as dreadful as the stat line looks. Luke Weaver has eaten shit twice in the last week and he’s more or less responsible for two of those losses. That’s not great, but I would rather one reliever be struggling than an entire bullpen of ineptitude. The Mets moved on from both Richard Lovelady and Luis García over the weekend, and while we shouldn’t be printing up Joey Gerber or Craig Kimbrel shirseys just yet, at least the Mets aren’t resting on their broken down laurels and are trying something new.
As for the starting pitching, it continues to be a mixed bag. Nolan McLean has been as advertised and Freddy Peralta is doing lots of Freddy Peralta stuff. Kodai Senga had two fantastic starts and then a terrible one, and David Peterson did the same in reverse. Clay Holmes left Friday’s game with hamstring tightness, but apparently is on track to start on Thursday, despite his spot still being listed as TBD.
Look, it’s early in the season, and we all know how this goes. But this offseason was a tough sell for a few reasons, but some of the major talking points included run prevention, versatility, a deeper lineup, and an improved relief corps. The versatility has been more or less accurate, but everything else has been flat-out wrong. If the Mets turn things around and waltz into a playoff spot, we will all laugh about our April panic, but that doesn’t make being in the middle of the panic any less frustrating.
Again, if they were traveling (without an off day to the opposite side of the country) to play almost any other team, things would feel better. But the Dodgers are the owners of the best record in baseball, the best player of the 21st century, and more money than some mid-sized nations. They snatched up the Mets’ All-Star closer, they outbid the Mets for their outfield target, and generally are the best run franchise in baseball.
While they lost to old friends Jacob deGrom on Sunday and Tyler Rogers on Wednesday, the team looks strong, even with Kyle Tucker hitting below league average thus far. Andy Pages isn’t going to have a 1.181 OPS the entire season, but there is enough thump in the Los Angeles lineup that they don’t need him to. This is what a deep lineup actually looks like.
Monday, April 13: David Peterson vs. Justin Wrobleski, 10:10 PM EDT on SNY
Peterson (2026): 14.2 IP, 14 K, 6 BB, 0 HR, 6.14 ERA, 2.44 FIP, 166 ERA-
After a good first start, Peterson has been downright awful in his next two appearances. Ten earned runs over nine and two-third innings is never pretty, but if FIP is to be believed, Peterson isn’t having as bad of an April as his ERA would have us believe. Until the Mets’ bats heat up, the club could really use Peterson’s FIP instead of his ERA.
Wrobleski (2026): 9.0 IP, 4 K, 5 BB, 0 HR, 4.00 ERA, 3.90 FIP, 105 ERA-
In his first start against the Guardians, Wrobleski gave up three runs in four innings. It wasn’t exactly a terrible start, but it is one that he would build on when he faced the Blue Jays in a rout a week later. While he’sbeen fine thus far, he’s not necessarily a pitcher of the caliber of the next two starters in this series. The Mets need to win this game in order to have any real shot at taking the series, if there’s any hope of that at all.
Tuesday, April 14: Nolan McLean vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, 10:10 PM EDT on SNY
McLean (2026): 16.2 IP, 20 K, 6 BB, 1 HR, 2.70 ERA, 2.76 FIP, 73 ERA-
The Mets have a wonderful history of producing top-level starting pitching over their history, and McLean appears to be the latest in that line. Over his first 11 MLB starts, McLean has exactly one (1) start of more than three earned runs. He’s been the recipient of some lackluster offense behind him, and while that doesn’t appear to be changing too much against the Dodgers and one of the best pitchers in baseball, the long term outlook for McLean looks very, very bright.
Yamamoto (2026): 18.0 IP, 14 K, 2 BB, 2 HR, 2.50 ERA, 3.51 FIP, 66 ERA-
In what still feels like a ‘the one who got away’ situation, Yamamoto spurned the Mets in favor of the Dodgers ahead of the 2024 season. Since then, he had a good ‘24 and a great ‘25, and 2026 is looking to be more of the same. In his last start against the Blue Jays, Yamamoto struck out six, walked one, and allowed just one run. This pitching matchup looks to be one of the best of the early season.
Wednesday, April 13: TBD vs. Shohei Ohtani, 10:10 PM EDT on ESPN
Ohtani (2026): 12.0 IP, 8 K, 4 BB, 0 HR, 0.00 ERA, 3.04 FIP, 0 ERA-
I must admit, I don’t keep as informed about other teams’ individual performance as I probably should. And so while it was somewhat of a shock to see Ohtani’s 0.00 ERA, it’s not really surprising. Just when we start to get used to who Ohtani is as an absolute once in a generation superstar, he does something else seemingly unbelievable. And so while this sparkling ERA won’t last, don’t be surprised if Ohtani continues to make the best baseball players on the planet look like little leaguers.
