The Cleveland Browns are at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 4 of the 2026 NFL season this Thursday, October 1, at 8:15 pm ET. The Browns are 2.5-point underdogs against the Steelers, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
Last week, we hit on 1 of our 3 picks:
- We took the over on RB Quinshon Judkins having 59.5+ rushing yards.
Our other two bets also involved Judkins. We lost the one related to who the first touchdown scorer would be, as Judkins has still not reached the end zone this season. We didn’t expect to win that one, but felt it was a worthy risk. The
one we were more confident in — and lost — was Judkins having the most rushing yards in the game. It was looking good for him for awhile, but Chubba Hubbard broke out some big runs in the second half to out-gain him.
Here are my favorite player prop bets from the Browns’ perspective in Week 4.
Browns vs. Steelers Best NFL player prop bets
KC Concepcion Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
KC Concepcion was targeted nine times last week, but only came away with two catches. That is highly unusual, but it wasn’t Concepcion’s fault — Watson was high for much of the game when targeting him. The pairing worked well in camp, and he likes looking his way the most, so the odds favor them being more on track to get over 35.5 yards receiving against Pittsburgh.
Jerry Jeudy Over 1.5 Receptions (+114)
I know we predicted a step back in reps for Jerry Jeudy, but who would have guessed that through three games, he’d only have two catches? In the last two games, he has no catches and has been targeted once. Fourth wide receiver Tylan Wallace is out this week, so we might see a slight increase in reps for Jeudy. It’s possible that Jeudy keeps getting left out of the mix, but with Pittsburgh’s ability to clamp down on the run, I think the receivers will get some more opportunities this week, and Jeudy still can put a nice move on defenders to create separation. I’ll take the over on 1.5 catches for him.
Deshaun Watson Over 45.5 Yards Passing in 4th Quarter (-114)
So far, the fourth quarter has been Deshaun Watson’s sweet spot, having 253 yards passing in that period over the first three games. It makes sense on circumstance, since Cleveland hasn’t been effective running the ball. Either they’ll be in a close game and need to come up with pass plays to sustain the lead or go ahead, or they’ll get garbage time yards if they’re behind. I’d take the over on Watson having 45.5 yards passing or more in the fourth quarter.
Browns fans, let us know which player prop bets you’re looking at this week against the Steelers.
