The Dallas Mavericks have returned to the United States after their 122-110 loss to the Detroit Pistons in Mexico City. Awaiting them are the Houston Rockets, winners of three straight games. This is the Mavericks’
first true road game of the 2025 season, as their first five games were spent at home before heading to Mexico City. The Rockets, meanwhile, return home after demolishing the Toronto Raptors and Boston Celtics in back-to-back games.
This is your Mavs Moneyball betting game of the week, so here is a quick reminder of what this looks like. David Trink and Tyler Edsel will pick a game each week and draft plays, alternating the first pick. We are competing head-to-head to see who can be more profitable, where all bets are $100 and all odds are from FanDuel. Let’s get into the handicap.
Last week’s results
San Antonio 125, Dallas 92
Tyler: 2-2 (-$24)
David: 2-2 (+$111)
Year to date
Tyler: 2-2 (-$24)
David: 2-2 (+$111)
Combined record: 4-4 (+$87)
All things considered, we’ll take a positive week and keep the train headed down the tracks.
Game intangibles
Dallas Mavericks (2-4) vs Houston Rockets (3-2)
Tip off: 7:00p CT from the Toyota Center in Houston, TX.
How to watch: KFAA Channel 29 and Mavs TV for those in the market, or NBA League Pass.
Game odds as of 12:00p CT
Provided by the Fanduel Sportsbook and are subject to change. Wager responsibly!
Spread: Houston -12.5 (-114)
Over/Under: 225.5 points (-110)
Moneyline: Dallas (+480)
There is no bigger underdog in the NBA tonight than the Dallas Mavericks, who are +12.5. The Wizards are also +12.5 at the New York Knicks this evening.
Tyler’s plays
- Game total under 225.5 (-110)
- Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun to combine for 50+ points (+140)
- Steven Adams over 6.5 rebounds (-106)
- Houston first quarter spread -3.5 (-122)
When the Mavericks play against teams who can defend, I will be blindly taking the under in the game. They just don’t have the offense to hang in these games. That being said, Houston’s offense is cooking at the moment, mainly due to Sengun and Durant. 50 combined points is not a high bar, and at +140 it is very appealing. Steven Adams should have a day on the glass against the shorthanded Mavs front court. And finally, the Rockets should be leading early when Dallas goes with no point guard. Expect a sizeable lead after one period for the Rockets.
David’s plays
- Alperen Sengun over 20.5 points (-106)
- PJ Washington 2+ three pointers made (+100)
- Mavericks team total under 106.5 (-114)
- Mavericks +12.5 (-106)
With the Mavericks’ lack of inside presence, Sengun is primed for a huge night. Jalen Duren had a career game on Saturday and Sengun should get to 21 points with ease. I like Washington’s match up in this one, which will most likely be someone who can’t move as well as he can. Washington has also taken four threes per game, on average. I think he takes five-plus in this one. This is going to be a low scoring, small margin Mavericks loss, somewhere in the ballpark of Houston 110, Dallas 103.
