The glass of baseball is always half full and half empty at the same time and the 2026 A’s are no exception. Half full: the A’s still own sole possession of 1st place at the 1/4 mark. Half empty: their 21-20 record puts them currently on pace for only 84 wins.
The Good
Let’s start today with a big positive from the ‘half full department’. I think we should take a moment to realize just how good Shea Langeliers has been in 2026. He hasn’t just been the A’s best hitter nor is he simply the best catcher
in the AL 1/4 of the way through the season. Langeliers can legitimately lay claim to being one of the best 2 or 3 hitters in the American League so far in 2026.
Sound like hyperbole? Langeliers has played in all but 4 games, missing most of those due to paternity leave, and he is batting, for the season, .340/.396/.641 with 12 HR. That’s a 48 HR pace and the league lead in batting (.020 points ahead of Josh Jung).
Shea’s 183 wRC+ is rivaled by few AL hitters. Even the legendary Aaron Judge is barely ahead of him at 185 wRC+. The only clearly superior hitter, by wRC+, would be Ben Rice (198). And once you factor in position and defensive value, Shea rises in overall WAR: Rice currently sits at 1.9 fWAR, Langeliers at 2.4 fWAR.
That’s right, Langeliers is on pace for a 9.6 fWAR season. Who knows how the voting will go, but he really should be a no-brainer to start the All-Star game as the American League’s catcher.
The Fugly
One wants to avoid the temptation to panic over small samples, but with Lawrence Butler the sample is growing ever larger: since the 2025 All-Star break Butler has just been bad. Last July-September you can wonder how much his knee might have been a factor, but that’s not really an excuse for how 2026 has begun.
The sample is now 96 games and here is how the numbers shake down:
2nd half of 2025, 58 games: .203/.268/.351, 70 wRC+
1st half of 2026, 38 games: .175/.277/.275, 56 wRC+
In aggregate you have a sub .200 hitter with an OBP in the low .270s and slugging in the low-mid .300s with a wRC+ in the mid-60s.
Against LHPs in his career now, Butler is batting just .221/.262/.378, 77 wRC+, which is why he is already becoming a platoon player in year 2 of his contract extension.
Defensively, Butler is fine in RF, even a tick above average, but he is terrible in CF despite the A’s insistence on pulling a Bleday and trotting him out there anyway. He’s already at -3 OAA in just 121.2 innings so he’s not providing valuable versatility to offset his hitting woes.
The A’s should now be legitimately concerned. There’s room for hope in that Butler has had his share of bad batted ball luck with hard hit outs. His expected BA stands at .232, which is a lot better than his actual .175 — but it’s not good and would only raise his OBP to a respectable .325.
Yes it would be nice if Butler were actually batting .232/.325/.400 but you don’t always exactly match your “expected” metrics and can’t just lean on that to excuse performance. Butler has struggled mightily at the plate for nearly 2/3 of a season now and is only really playable in RF — where Carlos Cortes can also play.
More Fugly: Pitching Splits
Meanwhile, on the mound….the A’s flat out need to figure out how to pitch in Sacramento. The team now has a 6.02 ERA at home for the season in 17 games in contrast to its 3.28 ERA in 24 away games. That’s absurd and it’s the same mound, same field, same conditions for the A’s and their opponents.
Sure the A’s could reasonably have a team ERA even a full point higher at home than on the road and chalk it up to “park effects”. But an ERA 2.74 runs/game higher at home than on the road? Serving up 2 runs every 3 innings? Come on, folks, you need to get a handle on this if the team is to contend for anything.
Trying to reverse the trend tonight will be one of the A’s biggest “split offenders,” JT Ginn. In a small sample so far in 2026, Ginn has a 7.62 ERA at home, 1.48 on the road. Last year, though, was similar: 6.85 at home, 3.14 on the road. It means Ginn will take a career ERA in Sacramento of 7.01 into tonight’s start.
Presumably, tonight we will see the debut of Henry Bolte, likely in CF and batting 9th. Here’s hoping The Bolte Era coincides with the team pitching better at home, Lawrence Butler hitting better everywhere, and Shea Langeliers not changing a thing.
