UFC Vegas 116 is less than 24 hours away …
It all goes down in “Sin City” this weekend (Sat., April 25, 2026) inside Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. In the main event, former UFC Bantamweight champion, Aljamain Sterling, attempts to hold off surging No. 7-ranked contender, Youssef Zalal.
We have a weekly series at MMAmania.com called “Weekend Lock,” where we share one bet that we predict will slap in Vegas when the chaotic dust settles. We also want to hear what our readers think (that’s you!), so please
tell us your most confident UFC Vegas 116 betting lock in the comments section below (see full UFC Vegas 116 odds here).
Last week’s recap: We cashed at UFC Winnipeg, taking Barbosa vs. Buzukja to end “under 1.5 rounds” and it sure did as Barbosa smoked Buzukja in less than two minutes (watch highlights).
We’re on a SIX-week win streak, so let’s keep rolling below:
On UFC Vegas 116’s main card, fan-favorite brawler Davey Grant taks on promotional newcomer Adrian Luna Martinetti in a classic veteran vs. rookie showdown. This week, I’m locking in Grant’s ML at -135.
Here’s why:
Grant might be 40 years old, but he’s still one of the toughest outs in the Bantamweight division — and he’s proven it time and time again against some of the nastiest unranked killers on the roster. He’s picked up wins over Da’Mon Blackshear and Raphael Assuncao (watch highlights), and many still believe he was robbed in a razor-close decision against Daniel Marcos.
Even in his last outing — a loss to Charles Jourdain — Grant was performing well before getting caught with a wild flying knee and ultimately submitted (watch highlights). That’s the risk when you fight the way Grant does: he’s always in the fire. But that same willingness to engage is also what makes him so dangerous. He’s durable, aggressive, and completely unafraid to go to war.
On the other side, Martinetti (17-1) is making his UFC debut — and while he’s put together a solid record on the regional scene, the level of competition leaves a lot to be desired. He’s beaten a lot of lower-tier opponents, and while he was part of one of the best Contender Series fights of all time, that came against Mark Vologin, who is notably undersized.
Now he’s stepping in against a seasoned veteran who has seen everything the sport has to offer. Add in potential UFC jitters, the bright lights, and the pressure of debuting against a fan-favorite brawler, and it’s a tough ask. If Martinetti decides to trade with Grant — and he likely will — he’s playing directly into Grant’s game — Grant by knockout at +250 is worth throwing five bucks on.
What could go wrong?
Grant is 40, and eventually, Father Time catches everyone. Martinetti is younger, fresher and could surprise if he fights a smart, disciplined game. There’s also the possibility Grant gets caught again in one of his trademark firefights.
Still, given the experience gap, durability, and proven track record, Grant at -135 looks like one of the best value plays on UFC Vegas 116’s card.
- Davey Grant To Win By KO/TKO/DQ: +250
- Davey Grant To Win By Submission: +1400
- Davey Grant To Win By Decision: +215
- Adrian Luna Martinetti To Win By KO/TKO/DQ: +1000
- Adrian Luna Martinetti by Submission: +500
- Adrian Luna Martinetti To Win By Decision: +240
