The Cleveland Browns are looking to turn the tables after two straight losses, returning home, where they are 3-0 this season, with QB Deshaun Watson back in place as the team’s starting quarterback. Week 10 brings the Houston Texans to town, with injuries to both the hosts and visitors being part of the story, as always in the NFL.
The Browns opened as underdogs to start their four-game home stretch, with the Texans hoping to continue their turnaround from a poor start to the 2026 NFL season.
Despite
the two straight losses, Cleveland enters Week 10 in a tie for the last playoff spot, missing out due to a tiebreaker, while Houston is a game and a half back and in the 11th seed in the AFC. Browns versus Texans is the biggest swing game for the AFC playoff race in Week 10:
It is interesting, according to the above chart, that the outcome would have a bigger impact on Houston and that they would have a higher chance of making the playoffs on both sides of the equation: 17% vs. 13% for losing, 51% vs. 42% for winning.
According to FanDuel, the Texans (+136) already have better odds to make the playoffs than Cleveland (+270), while The Athletic gives the Browns a slightly better chance to make the postseason (45%) with a win this week.
For AFC North reasons, the Cincinnati Bengals versus the Pittsburgh Steelers is obviously the biggest game of the week
Are you surprised by any of the playoff odds-related numbers above? How high will your playoff expectations jump if the Browns win in Week 10?
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