Nine is divine! It sure wasn’t pretty. But in the end, that doesn’t really matter. The Cubs won their ninth consecutive game. It’s April, and so the two teams the Cubs faced in those nine games understandably have two of the worst records in baseball. For kicks, I pulled up MLB.com’s preseason baseball predictions for 2026. Their pick for the NL East? The Mets. In other choices? The Phillies were listed first. Baseball America? The Mets first followed by the Phillies with both making their playoff
prediction. Two of their 10 writers had the Mets in the World Series (at this point, kudos to their one who had the Braves there).
My point is that we don’t know that both teams are bad, though certainly both are in disarray. There’s a lot of baseball to be played. This stretch of wins isn’t nothing. And it also doesn’t guarantee anything for anyone. I do suspect there is some residual value to sweeping a seven-game homestand. That can create some swagger and intimidation for teams coming in later. Is that worth a lot? No. But I also don’t think it’s nothing. I do think a team draws on the things they’ve done before. This team will remember ultimately prevailing even after the Phillies came off of the mat and fought back.
Obviously, it isn’t great that Caleb Thielbar appears to have been injured. It does appear that all four of the anticipated leverage relievers from opening day are now all hurt. Add to that the loss of Cade Horton, arguably the team’s best starter, and it is a scary development. At least in terms of all of those relievers, we expect them all back at some point.
The Cubs have been winning largely on the back of a very productive offense and a very strong defense. You won’t be able to find one stretch of games for any team in the league than the Cubs did. It was so striking that the few times the defense did let down, it was very striking. The seventh inning of this game was almost that way. The bullpen hasn’t had to do much. But today, they didn’t answer the bell when the Cubs needed them. I’m going to imagine that continues to be something they struggle with as they head west for the first time.
The offense, though, was terrific throughout the series. They added 18 more hits on Friday. The Phillies and their fans are likely to wake in a cold sweat remembering just a sea of Cub runners seemingly in every single inning of the series. What’s that old phrase? Who leaves a lot of runners on base? Teams that get a lot of runners on base. By OPS, the Cubs are up to third in the league. By on-base percentage, they now rank first. This series was a lot of that.
The team is getting contributions from so many different players. The crazy thing is that the team shows at No. 1 for OBP. But Nico leads the team with the 25th best OBP. It doesn’t feel congruent. Until you look under the hood. Carson Kelly (.440), Seiya Suzuki (.449), Moisés Ballesteros (.439), and Michael Conforto (.452). None of them would qualify for a batting title. They are 7th, 10th, 9th and 12th in at bats for this team. This coaching staff is doing a good job of putting guys into a position where they can succeed. Right now, when this team spins the wheels on the slot machine, they keep winning.
It’s a lot of fun while it lasts. How about number 10 for good old Ron Santo? Leon Durham was my first love with that number, but in the hearts and minds of Cubs fans, that number is emblematic of the nine time All-Star and five-time Gold Glove and long time partner of Pat Hughes. I’m not old enough to have seen him play, but I do have a favorite piece of Ron Santo trivial knowledge. Ron’s best season by bWAR was in 1967. In a seven year stretch from 1963-1969, that was the only one in which he wasn’t an All-Star. It was also his best finish in MVP voting (fourth).
Three Positives:
- Seiya Suzuki was an absolute beast in this game. Three hits, two walks, a homer, and two runs scored.
- Michael Busch had only two hits, but he made the most of it with four runs driven in, including a crazy three-run homer off Phillies ace Cristopher Sánchez.
- This game was really two different games. In the first six innings, the star was Edward Cabrera, who looked like he might go the distance. Your mileage may vary, but I’m going to tip the cap to his excellent six innings of work and not the weird seventh inning.
Hat top to Carson Kelly with two singles, a double and a hit by pitch as well as Moisés Ballesteros with two doubles in two chances. The offense was an abundance of riches.
Game 25, April 23: Cubs 8, Phillies 7 (16-9)
Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.
THREE HEROES:
- Superhero: Michael Busch (.335). 2-6, HR, 4 RBI
- Hero: Seiya Suzuki (.326). 3-4, HR, 2 BB, RBI, 2 R
- Sidekick: Carson Kelly (.229). 3-5, 2B, HBP, 2 R
THREE GOATS:
- Billy Goat: Caleb Thielbar (-.429). 0 IP, 2 BF, H, BB, ER
- Goat: Nico Hoerner (-.199). 0-5, BB
- Kid: Jacob Webb (-.170). 0.1 IP, H, BB
WPA Play of the Game: Adolis Garcia homered off of Thielbar leading off the ninth inning to tie the game. (.341)
*Cubs Play of the Game: Seiya Suzuki’s homer leading off the bottom of the eighth inning. (.266)
Cubs Player of the Game:
Game 24 Winner: Alex Bregman got 80 of 170 votes.
Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 3/Bottom 3)
The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.
- Nico Hoerner +8.5
- Carson Kelly +8
- Michael Conforto/Shōta Imanaga +7
- Matt Shaw -7
- Jacob Webb -10
- Pete Crow-Armstrong -13
Up Next: If I’m going to do a bit, I’ll keep running it until it runs out of steam. The Cubs are on a 103.7 win pace. If they play one over for the remainder of the season, they win 85 games. Not too shabby. But it gets tougher here. The two-time defending champion Dodgers are 17-8. Only the Braves have been better at 18-8.
Jameson Taillon (1-1, 3.97, 22.2 IP) makes his fifth start of the year. It’s been a mixed bag, but he’s coming off of a terrific start against the Mets (6 IP, 1 ER). We are firmly in the part of the season where the Dodgers start guys I’ve never heard of. 26-year-old Emmet Sheehan (2-0, 5.85, 20 IP) makes his fifth start. He’s also coming off of a pretty good start (2 ER, 5 IP in Colorado). The sixth-round pick of the Dodgers in 2021 (192nd overall) is 12-4 in his career with a 4.04 ERA in 153.2 IP (27 starts, five relief appearances). I’m not yet losing my mind, he’s never faced the Cubs.
